Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Portugalete		Touring KE

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	4.25
	1.84	3.04	4.63	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.86	3.52	4.03
	1.83	2.83	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.42)	3.19 ↓ (4)	4.38 ↓ (6.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugalete
50.5%

Draw
28.6%

Touring KE
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

22.6%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

21.8%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugalete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portugalete's form might have worsened.

Touring KE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Touring KE's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (+15.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portugalete, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Touring KE than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Touring KE, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Portugalete - Touring KE Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', 🟥,
38', 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 1 - 0, Crespo G. ⚽,
70', 2 - 0, Crespo G. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 4.

Portugalete is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Touring has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Touring may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Portugalete is the clear favorite.

We predict that Portugalete will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Portugalete won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Touring KE	5	2	2	1	7:5	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Portugalete
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
11.01.26	Portugalete - Alavés C	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Aurrerá de Vitoria - Portugalete	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Portugalete - Leioa	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Eibar C - Portugalete	0:5 ✺
06.12.25	Portugalete - Añorga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWW
- Touring KE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
11.01.26	San Ignacio - Touring KE	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Touring KE - Derio	5:2 ✺
20.12.25	Zarautz KE - Touring KE	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Alavés C - Touring KE	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Touring KE - Aurrerá de Vitoria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
06.09.25	Touring KE - Portugalete	1:2
12.04.25	Touring KE - Portugalete	0:1
30.11.24	Portugalete - Touring KE	3:0
23.03.24	Touring KE - Portugalete	1:1
04.11.23	Portugalete - Touring KE	2:1
19.02.23	Portugalete - Touring KE	2:0
15.10.22	Touring KE - Portugalete	1:3

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