Match Info
Serie D - Round 10Date: 28 June 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estadio do Caninde (Sao Paulo)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Portuguesa |
|
Porto Vitória |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.46 |
3.7 |
6.25 |
|
 |
1.47 |
3.54 |
6.29 |
|
 |
|
|
|
 Watch |
 |
1.44 |
3.88 |
6.81 |
|
 |
1.54 |
3.9 |
5.2 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48
(1.48) |
3.76 ↓
(4.1) |
6.14 ↑
(5.25) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Portuguesa
61.2% | Draw
24.1% | Porto Vitória
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Porto Vitória has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (+2.2%)Portuguesa - Porto Vitória Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Portuguesa (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Marcelo Freitas ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 62', 1 - 1, Matheus Firmino ⚽,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Cristiano ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6).Now, both teams are in good form.Porto Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Portuguesa is a strong favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Portuguesa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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