Match Info

Paulista - Round 3

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio do Caninde (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	HBO Max


	Portuguesa		Velo Clube

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	4.33	Watch
	1.98	3	4.15
	1.96	3.04	4.47	Watch
	2.1	2.75	3.7
	1.93	2.79	4.51
	2.05	2.9	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.95)	2.91 ↑ (2.9)	4.25 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa
46.4%

Draw
31.8%

Velo Clube
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

30.7%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Velo Clube has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Portuguesa - Velo Clube Predictions

Users Predictions: Portuguesa will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Portuguesa will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bruno Bertinato (G) 2. Joao Vitor 3. Gustavo Henrique 4. Eduardo Biazus 17. Caio Roque 10. Gabriel Pires (C) 20. Guilherme Portuga 7. Ewerthon 8. Ze Vitor 19. Maceio 21. Rene	1. Marcelo Carne (G) 3. Mancha 5. Marcelo Augusto (C) 4. Betao 2. Ynaia 8. Rodrigo 7. Luiz Otavio 6. Ze Mario 11. Joao Lucas 9. Daniel Amorim 10. Sillas
Substitutes
39. Carlos Eduardo 33. Eric Botteghin 42. Gustavo Sciencia 5. Hudson 13. Igor Torres 12. Joao Paulo (G) 77. Keven 91. Lohan 14. Marcelo Freitas 9. Matheus Cadorini 25. Matheus Cecchini	23. Adriano Jr 16. Caique 13. Islan 19. Jhoninha 21. Karl 12. Leo Steffen (G) 14. Lucas Mingoti 17. Mateus Norton 20. Rodrigo Alves 18. Ruan 15. Thomas Luciano
Coaches
Fabio Matias	Pintado

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Rene (Penalty Awarded),
31', Guilherme Portuga 🟨,
42', Ynaia 🟨,
42', Ze Vitor 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ze Mario ↓, Caique ↑,
46', Joao Lucas ↓, Karl ↑,
60', Guilherme Portuga ↓, Matheus Cecchini ↑,
61', Ze Vitor ↓, Hudson ↑,
63', Daniel Amorim ↓, Jhoninha ↑,
70', Ewerthon ↓, Igor Torres ↑,
71', Ynaia ↓, Rodrigo Alves ↑,
71', Rodrigo ↓, Mateus Norton ↑,
71', Joao Vitor ↓, Gustavo Sciencia ↑,
72', Igor Torres 🟨,
81', Gabriel Pires ↓, Eric Botteghin ↑,
83', Gustavo Sciencia 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 0, Maceio ⚽,

Preview

Portuguesa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Portuguesa is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Portuguesa: Lucas Hipolito (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Portuguesa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
13.01.26	Capivariano - Portuguesa	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Portuguesa - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
09.08.25	Portuguesa - Mixto	1:1 penalties ✺
02.08.25	Mixto - Portuguesa	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Portuguesa - Boavista	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Velo Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
14.01.26	Ponte Preta - Velo Clube	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Velo Clube - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Velo Clube - Água Santa	1:0 ✺
19.02.25	Guarani - Velo Clube	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Velo Clube - Internacional de Limeira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
04.02.25	Velo Clube - Portuguesa	2:2
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
26.02.22	Velo Clube - Portuguesa	0:1
24.04.21	Portuguesa - Velo Clube	1:0

Portuguesa - Velo Clube: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide