Match Info

Paulista - Round 2

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	21:30	HBO Max


	Capivariano		Portuguesa

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.55	Watch
	2.88	3	2.48
	3	3.02	2.5	Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.5
	2.88	3.09	2.63	Watch
	2.9	3	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.44)	2.99 ↓ (3.12)	2.55 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Capivariano
32.3%

Draw
31.2%

Portuguesa
36.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38%

29.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Capivariano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Capivariano's form might have worsened.

Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Capivariano - Portuguesa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Portuguesa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Guilherme Nogueira (G) 2. Diogo Mateus 3. Octavio 4. Wendel Lomar 6. Leonan Santos 8. Vinicius Guedes 5. Bruno Silva (C) 10. Ravanelli 7. Mike 9. Vinicius Popo 11. Felipe Azevedo	1. Bruno Bertinato (G) 2. Joao Vitor 3. Gustavo Henrique 4. Eduardo Biazus 6. Gustavo Salomao 5. Hudson 8. Ze Vitor 10. Gabriel Pires (C) 19. Maceio 21. Rene 91. Lohan
Substitutes
17. Baianinho 16. Balao 21. Carlos Eduardo 20. Cassio Gabriel 14. Lailton Canabrava 22. Leandrinho 13. Lucas Dias 24. Marcos Moser 18. Matheus Guilherme 15. Tarcisio 1. Teixeira M. (G) 19. Thiago Moraes	17. Caio Roque 14. Carlos Eduardo 11. Cauari 18. Denis 13. Eric Botteghin 7. Ewerthon 20. Guilherme Portuga 23. Gustavo Sciencia 12. Joao Paulo (G) 16. Keven 9. Matheus Cadorini 25. Matheus Cecchini
Coaches
Sizenando E.	Fabio Matias

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Leonan Santos 🟨,
45+3', Hudson 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mike ↓, Matheus Guilherme ↑,
46', Lohan ↓, Ewerthon ↑,
57', Vinicius Guedes ↓, Lucas Dias ↑,
60', Gustavo Salomao 🟨,
66', Ze Vitor ↓, Guilherme Portuga ↑,
66', Hudson ↓, Matheus Cecchini ↑,
72', Vinicius Popo ↓, Cassio Gabriel ↑,
72', Ravanelli ↓, Baianinho ↑,
78', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
79', Rene ↓, Matheus Cadorini ↑,
85', Gabriel Pires ↓, Denis ↑,
90', Diogo Mateus ↓, Marcos Moser ↑,
90+2', 1 - 0, Baianinho ⚽,

Preview

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Capivariano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Capivariano FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
10.01.26	São Bernardo - Capivariano	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
05.04.25	EC Primavera - Capivariano	1:2 ✺
02.04.25	Capivariano - EC Primavera	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Capivariano - Ituano	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	Ituano - Capivariano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWTWW
- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
10.01.26	Portuguesa - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
09.08.25	Portuguesa - Mixto	1:1 penalties ✺
02.08.25	Mixto - Portuguesa	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Portuguesa - Boavista	3:0 ✺
19.07.25	Maricá - Portuguesa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
14.03.15	Portuguesa - Capivariano	1:2

Capivariano - Portuguesa