Match Info

Date: 16 June 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio General Jose Antonio Paez (Acarigua)


	Portuguesa Acarígua		Aragua

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.7	3.8
	2.15	2.5	3.9
	2.12	2.46	4
	1.98	2.57	4.32
	2.05	2.7	4.2
	2.09	2.63	4.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.04)	2.59 ↓ (2.98)	4.16 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa Acarígua
43.5%

Draw
34.8%

Aragua
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.7%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

32.4%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa Acarígua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Aragua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Acarígua than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.6%	48.1%	22.2%

Portuguesa Acarígua - Aragua Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Portuguesa will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). Aragua will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 48.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.3% – 66.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Sudamericana ~ Play Offs)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Portuguesa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Portuguesa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Portuguesa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa Acarígua
Venezuelan Primera Division
11.06.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Portuguesa Acarígua	2:1 ✺
02.06.22	Portuguesa Acarígua - Deportivo La Guaira	1:0 ✺
27.05.22	Aragua - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:1 ✺
19.05.22	Portuguesa Acarígua - Hermanos Colmenares	1:1 ✺
13.05.22	Deportivo Táchira - Portuguesa Acarígua	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWTT
- Aragua FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
09.06.22	Deportivo Táchira - Aragua	2:0 ✺
05.06.22	Aragua - Deportivo Táchira	1:0 ✺
27.05.22	Aragua - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:1 ✺
22.05.22	Metropolitanos - Aragua	1:1 ✺
12.05.22	Aragua - Universidad Central	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
27.05.22	Aragua - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:1
18.11.21	Aragua - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:1
30.10.21	Portuguesa Acarígua - Aragua	1:1

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