Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A2 - Round 9

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Ulrico Mursa (Santos)


	Portuguesa Santista		Grêmio Prudente

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.44	Watch
	2.98	3	2.41
	2.95	2.97	2.43	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.7
	2.98	3.02	2.41
	2.8	3	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.45)	3.02 ↓ (3.25)	2.47 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Portuguesa Santista
32.5%

Draw
30.4%

Grêmio Prudente
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

28.5%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

29.5%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa Santista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portuguesa Santista's form might have worsened.

Grêmio Prudente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portuguesa Santista, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Prudente than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Portuguesa Santista - Grêmio Prudente Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Douglas ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 2, Vitor Braga (Pen),

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Portuguesa Santista is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Grêmio Prudente is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa Santista
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
08.02.25	Portuguesa Santista - Ituano	3:3 ✺
05.02.25	São Bento - Portuguesa Santista	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Linense - Portuguesa Santista	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Portuguesa Santista - Piracicaba	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Portuguesa Santista - Santo André	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLLL
- Grêmio Prudente
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
08.02.25	Grêmio Prudente - Votuporanguense	2:2 ✺
05.02.25	Capivariano - Grêmio Prudente	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Osasco Sporting - Grêmio Prudente	0:3 ✺
29.01.25	Grêmio Prudente - EC Primavera	2:2 ✺
25.01.25	Piracicaba - Grêmio Prudente	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWTL

Portuguesa Santista - Grêmio Prudente: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide