Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 15

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ulrico Mursa (Santos)


	Portuguesa Santista		União Barbarense

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.2	4.5
	1.7	3.25	4.65
	1.61	3.58	4.91
	1.64	3.58	4.92	Watch
	1.67	3.3	4.8
	1.65	3.47	5.36
	1.68	3.3	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.65)	3.38 ↑ (3.38)	4.83 ↓ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa Santista
54.5%

Draw
26.8%

União Barbarense
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

26.8%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

25.9%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa Santista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

União Barbarense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Barbarense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Portuguesa Santista - União Barbarense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+7', 1 - 0, Flavio Souza (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Otavio ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 0, Otavio ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Portuguesa Santista is Qualified for Paulista A3 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Portuguesa Santista is a strong favorite.

We predict that Portuguesa Santista will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa Santista
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
15.03.26	EC São Bernardo - Portuguesa Santista	0:3 ✺
11.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - Rio Preto	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - Francana	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	União São João - Portuguesa Santista	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - Catanduva	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLW
- União Barbarense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
14.03.26	União Barbarense - Itapirense	1:0 ✺
11.03.26	União Barbarense - Paulista	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Desportivo Brasil - União Barbarense	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	União Barbarense - União Suzano	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Rio Branco de Americana - União Barbarense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTTWW

Portuguesa Santista - União Barbarense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide