Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 12

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ulrico Mursa (Santos)


	Portuguesa Santista		Francana

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.7	6.7
	1.43	3.77	6.49
	1.46	3.85	6.85	Watch
	1.44	3.5	7.5
	1.41	3.82	7.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 (1.44)	3.73 ↓ (3.8)	7.04 ↓ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa Santista
62.9%

Draw
24.3%

Francana
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

24.1%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

22.9%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa Santista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Francana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francana than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Portuguesa Santista - Francana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Yohan ⚽,
30', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

Portuguesa Santista has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Francana has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Portuguesa Santista is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa Santista
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
04.03.26	União São João - Portuguesa Santista	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - Catanduva	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Portuguesa Santista - Itapirense	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Marília - Portuguesa Santista	3:0 ✺
11.02.26	Portuguesa Santista - Rio Claro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLW
- AA Francana
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
04.03.26	Francana - Rio Preto	1:3 ✺
01.03.26	Paulista - Francana	2:2 ✺
25.02.26	Francana - Rio Branco de Americana	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Bandeirante - Francana	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Francana - EC São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLLL

Portuguesa Santista - Francana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide