Match Info

Paulista A3 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ulrico Mursa (Santos)


	Portuguesa Santista		Rio Preto

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.3	5.35
	1.55	3.41	5.72
	1.61	3.33	5.84	Watch
	1.62	3.1	5.75
	1.7	3.38	5.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.75)	3.3 ↓ (3.33)	5.56 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Portuguesa Santista
56.2%

Draw
27.5%

Rio Preto
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

27.5%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

26.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa Santista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Rio Preto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Preto than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Portuguesa Santista - Rio Preto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
12', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Portuguesa Santista is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Portuguesa Santista will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa Santista won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Portuguesa Santista won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa Santista
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
11.04.26	Rio Preto - Portuguesa Santista	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Portuguesa Santista - Paulista	2:0 penalties ✺
28.03.26	Paulista - Portuguesa Santista	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - União Barbarense	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	EC São Bernardo - Portuguesa Santista	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWW
- Rio Preto EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
11.04.26	Rio Preto - Portuguesa Santista	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Rio Preto - União Barbarense	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	União Barbarense - Rio Preto	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Itapirense - Rio Preto	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Rio Preto - Desportivo Brasil	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
11.04.26	Rio Preto - Portuguesa Santista	0:1
11.03.26	Portuguesa Santista - Rio Preto	1:0

Portuguesa Santista - Rio Preto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide