Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 14

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	União Barbarense		Itapirense

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	4.95
	1.51	3.78	5.57
	1.57	3.64	5.51	Watch
	1.57	3.4	5
	1.55	3.6	5.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.76)	3.56 ↑ (3.29)	5.32 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Barbarense
57.7%

Draw
25.3%

Itapirense
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

27.6%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

26.4%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Barbarense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in União Barbarense's performance.

Itapirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Barbarense than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itapirense than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

União Barbarense - Itapirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 1 - 0, Daniel Cruz ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

União Barbarense is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Itapirense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, União Barbarense is a strong favorite.

We predict that União Barbarense will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Barbarense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
11.03.26	União Barbarense - Paulista	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Desportivo Brasil - União Barbarense	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	União Barbarense - União Suzano	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Rio Branco de Americana - União Barbarense	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	EC São Bernardo - União Barbarense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TTWWW
- SE Itapirense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
11.03.26	Rio Branco de Americana - Itapirense	3:2 ✺
08.03.26	Itapirense - EC São Bernardo	0:3 ✺
04.03.26	Desportivo Brasil - Itapirense	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Itapirense - União São João	1:1 ✺
26.02.26	Itapirense - Rio Claro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWTT

União Barbarense - Itapirense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide