Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Posta Rangers		Police FC

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.82	1.98
	4.21	2.89	1.97
	4.17	2.92	1.96	Watch
	3.9	2.75	1.95
	4.15	2.98	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↓ (4.12)	2.87 ↓ (2.9)	1.97 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Posta Rangers
22.3%

Draw
31.6%

Police FC
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

31.2%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

30%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Posta Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Police FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Posta Rangers than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Posta Rangers - Police FC Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Police (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): -1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Macharia J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 2 - 0, Mwema D. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Posta Rangers won 1.

Recent form of Posta Rangers has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Police is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Posta Rangers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Police is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Posta Rangers won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Posta Rangers won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Posta Rangers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Police FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Posta Rangers FC
Kenyan Premier League
05.03.26	Posta Rangers - Gor Mahia	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Muranga Seal - Posta Rangers	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	AFC Leopards - Posta Rangers	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Posta Rangers - Shabana	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Tusker - Posta Rangers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLLLT
- Kenya Police FC
Kenyan Premier League
01.03.26	Police FC - Bandari	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Sofapaka - Police FC	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Police FC - APS Bomet	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Ulinzi Stars - Police FC	1:1 ✺
02.02.26	Police FC - Bidco United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
02.11.25	Police FC - Posta Rangers	0:0
30.03.25	Posta Rangers - Police FC	0:1
15.01.25	Police FC - Posta Rangers	3:2
10.02.24	Posta Rangers - Police FC	0:0
01.09.23	Police FC - Posta Rangers	0:3
19.01.23	Posta Rangers - Police FC	0:2
28.05.22	Police FC - Posta Rangers	2:1

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