Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	AFC Leopards		Posta Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.1	5.9
	1.68	2.9	6.55	Watch
	1.62	2.9	6.5
	1.63	3.21	6.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.75)	3.03 ↓ (3.12)	6.36 ↑ (5.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Leopards
55.6%

Draw
30.1%

Posta Rangers
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

29.4%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

27.6%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Leopards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Posta Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Leopards than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Posta Rangers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

AFC Leopards - Posta Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leopards won 1.

Leopards has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Posta Rangers has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Leopards has had a series of away games.

Recently, Posta Rangers has had a series of home games.

In this match, Leopards is the team to beat.

We predict that Leopards will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Leopards won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Leopards won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Leopards	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Posta Rangers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Leopards
Kenyan Premier League
14.02.26	Bandari - AFC Leopards	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Sofapaka - AFC Leopards	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	AFC Leopards - APS Bomet	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Tusker - AFC Leopards	0:4 ✺
07.01.26	Nairobi United - AFC Leopards	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWWW
- Posta Rangers FC
Kenyan Premier League
14.02.26	Posta Rangers - Shabana	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Tusker - Posta Rangers	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Posta Rangers - Mathare United	1:1 ✺
20.01.26	Posta Rangers - Kenya CB	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Posta Rangers - Kariobangi Sharks	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
03.10.25	Posta Rangers - AFC Leopards	2:2
18.04.25	Posta Rangers - AFC Leopards	1:0
15.09.24	AFC Leopards - Posta Rangers	0:1
14.04.24	Posta Rangers - AFC Leopards	0:1
11.11.23	AFC Leopards - Posta Rangers	1:1
17.12.22	AFC Leopards - Posta Rangers	0:1
09.12.21	AFC Leopards - Posta Rangers	1:0

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