Match Info

Premier League - Round 19

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Tusker		Posta Rangers

	1	X	2
	2.02	2.82	3.9
	2.05	2.84	3.97	Watch
	1.95	2.88	3.7
	2.01	2.86	3.94
	2.05	2.8	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.97)	2.84 ↓ (3.11)	3.86 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tusker
44.8%

Draw
31.8%

Posta Rangers
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

29.4%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

26.2%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tusker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Posta Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Posta Rangers than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Tusker - Posta Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Onchwari A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 3.

In recent matches, Tusker has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Posta Rangers has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Posta Rangers has had a series of home games.

Tusker is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tusker won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Tusker	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Posta Rangers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Tusker - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 46.38%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tusker
Kenyan Premier League
25.01.26	Kenya CB - Tusker	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Tusker - Bandari	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Tusker - AFC Leopards	0:4 ✺
21.12.25	APS Bomet - Tusker	0:1 ✺
17.12.25	Tusker - Nairobi United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWL
- Posta Rangers FC
Kenyan Premier League
24.01.26	Posta Rangers - Mathare United	1:1 ✺
20.01.26	Posta Rangers - Kenya CB	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Posta Rangers - Kariobangi Sharks	1:1 ✺
22.12.25	Ulinzi Stars - Posta Rangers	3:0 ✺
16.12.25	Posta Rangers - Bandari	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
27.09.25	Posta Rangers - Tusker	2:1
14.03.25	Tusker - Posta Rangers	2:1
21.12.24	Posta Rangers - Tusker	1:3
10.12.23	Tusker - Posta Rangers	0:0
26.02.23	Posta Rangers - Tusker	0:1
12.06.22	Tusker - Posta Rangers	2:0
09.01.22	Posta Rangers - Tusker	1:0

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