The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Altamura 23.6%
Draw 26.8%
Potenza 49.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.3%
26.5%
49.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.8%
25.9%
50.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Altamura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Potenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altamura than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Altamura - Potenza Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Perucchini F. (G) 5. Zazza M. 6. Pacia F. 28. Tudor R. 21. Mogentale T. 30. Nazzaro M. 4. Dipinto N. (C) 20. Gudelevicius E. 7. Rosafio M. 14. Bocic M. 10. Curcio A.
17. Cucchietti T. (G) 26. Kirwan N. 6. Loiacono G. (C) 47. Bura R. 3. Russo L. 8. Castorani M. 24. Bando A. 77. Ghisolfi M. 30. Petrungaro L. 70. Selleri G. 10. D'Auria G.
Substitutes
99. De Gennaro S. (G) 1. Di Bartolo F. (G) 27. Dimola R. 37. Falasca M. 2. Gagliardi L. 9. Malcore G. 3. Ovalle Santos A. 70. Peschetola L. 31. Pirrello R. 75. Savane M. 11. Simone G.
98. Adjapong C. 7. Bruschi N. 1. Franchi D. (G) 14. Franzolini A. 35. Giannini D. 12. Gironi C. (G) 21. Manfredonia M. 80. Matheu P. 11. Mazzeo L. 9. Murano J. 25. Staver C. 2. Verza N.
Coaches
Raffaele G.
Tisci I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Rosafio M. ⚽, Bocic M. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Castorani M. (Penalty Awarded),
34', Castorani M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Kirwan N. 🟨,
60', 2 - 1, Mogentale T. ⚽, Bocic M. (A),
64', Bocic M. 🟨,
66', Bocic M. ↓, Peschetola L. ↑,
71', Castorani M. ↓, Franzolini A. ↑,
71', Kirwan N. ↓, Adjapong C. ↑,
72', D'Auria G. ↓, dos Santos M. ↑,
72', Selleri G. ↓, Murano J. ↑,
81', Zazza M. ↓, Gagliardi L. ↑,
81', Rosafio M. ↓, Ovalle Santos A. ↑,
81', Ghisolfi M. ↓, Bruschi N. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Petrungaro L. ⚽, Murano J. (A),
87', Gudelevicius E. ↓, Malcore G. ↑,
90', Gagliardi L. 🟨,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 16th in the Serie C - Play Out and 1st in the Promotion - Serie B).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Altamura won 1.
In recent outings, Altamura has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Potenza is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
In this matchup, Potenza is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Altamura has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:17 (averaging 1.1:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Altamura against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:5 goals (averaging 1.3:1.7 per game).