Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Vivo Azzurro TV


	Tau Altopascio		Ghiviborgo

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.05	3.25
	2.1	3.15	3.34
	2	3.1	3.2
	2.05	3.47	3.42
	1.84	3.5	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.05)	3.25 ↑ (3.18)	3.37 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tau Altopascio
45.1%

Draw
27.9%

Ghiviborgo
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.6%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

28.3%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tau Altopascio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Ghiviborgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tau Altopascio than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ghiviborgo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Tau Altopascio - Ghiviborgo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Carcani T. (Penalty Awarded),
38', 2 - 0, Carcani P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 8).

Tau is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ghiviborgo is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tau is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tau won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tau	6	4	0	2	10:12	-2	12
18	Ghiviborgo	6	0	1	5	3:10	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tau Altopascio
Italian Serie D - Group E
11.01.26	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Tau Altopascio	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Tau Altopascio - Siena	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Tau Altopascio - Follonica Gavorrano	6:1 ✺
14.12.25	Terranuova Traiana - Tau Altopascio	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Tau Altopascio - Poggibonsi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWLW
- GSD Ghiviborgo VDS
Italian Serie D - Group E
11.01.26	Ghiviborgo - Trestina	3:2 ✺
04.01.26	Camaiore - Ghiviborgo	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Grosseto - Ghiviborgo	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Ghiviborgo - Montevarchi	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Seravezza Pozzi - Ghiviborgo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
20.09.25	Ghiviborgo - Tau Altopascio	0:0

Tau Altopascio - Ghiviborgo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide