Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro		Tau Altopascio

	1	X	2
	4.45	3.35	1.7
	4.16	3.37	1.8	Watch
	4.5	3.1	1.73
	4.23	3.38	1.76
	4.2	3.25	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (3.25)	3.29 ↑ (3.13)	1.76 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
21%

Draw
27.5%

Tau Altopascio
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

29%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

28.5%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro's form might have worsened.

Tau Altopascio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tau Altopascio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tau Altopascio than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tau Altopascio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Tau Altopascio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).

Sansepolcro is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tau is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Tau is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sansepolcro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tau	6	4	0	2	10:12	-2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Italian Serie D - Group E
04.01.26	Scandicci - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	5:0 ✺
21.12.25	Camaiore - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Orvietana	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Trestina - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Grosseto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTLL
- Tau Altopascio
Italian Serie D - Group E
04.01.26	Tau Altopascio - Siena	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Tau Altopascio - Follonica Gavorrano	6:1 ✺
14.12.25	Terranuova Traiana - Tau Altopascio	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Tau Altopascio - Poggibonsi	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Cannara - Tau Altopascio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
14.09.25	Tau Altopascio - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	2:0
21.01.24	Tau Altopascio - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	0:0

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Tau Altopascio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide