Match Info

Australia Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Genis Steel Stadium (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Preston Lions		South Melbourne

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.50	2.82	Watch
	2.25	3.25	2.65
	2.15	3.45	2.75
	2.29	3.60	2.98
	2.09	3.64	3.16	Watch
	2.25	3.50	2.65
	2.34	3.50	2.78	Watch
	2.30	3.25	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.01)	3.46 ↓ (3.58)	2.81 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preston Lions
40.8%

Draw
26.5%

South Melbourne
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

25.5%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

26.2%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preston Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston Lions than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Preston Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Preston Lions - South Melbourne Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). South Melbourne will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Scott R. (C) 4. Ali J. 5. Brice A. 2. Folino D. 32. Nigro S. 80. Cuba C. 27. Tevere L. 19. Kubilay O. 7. Brooks L. 24. Bonada N. 20. Cianci Z.	1. Diaz Lopez J. (G) 17. Giannakopoulos T. 4. Jankovic M. (C) 5. Ramazani H. 27. Painter-Andrews J. 21. Pasquali S. 8. Retre P. 16. Cocks A. 7. Yoo D. 10. Juach B. 11. Uchida Y.
Substitutes
77. Albano G. 15. Bozinovski M. 21. Lazarevski D. 99. Mayen (G) 13. Mihailidis G. 9. Romero J. 17. Suto N.	20. Charlston J. (G) 13. Lackay J. 3. Lampard J. 14. Menelaou A. 19. Mesourouni A. 22. Mikkola M. 9. Swibel J.
Coaches
Markovski Z.	Cohadzic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Kubilay O. 🟨,
42', Brooks L. ↓, Albano G. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 0, Cuba C. ⚽, Cianci Z. (A),
58', Giannakopoulos T. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Painter-Andrews J. ⚽,
76', Bonada N. 🟨,
83', Nigro S. ↓, Bozinovski M. ↑,
83', Bonada N. ↓, Lazarevski D. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Cocks A. ⚽, Uchida Y. (A),
90+1', Juach B. ↓, Swibel J. ↑,
90+1', Cocks A. ↓, Lampard J. ↑,
90+1', Folino D. ↓, Romero J. ↑,
90+1', Cuba C. ↓, Mihailidis G. ↑,
90+4', Yoo D. ↓, Mikkola M. ↑,

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Preston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, South Melbourne has had a series of home games.

Preston is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Preston won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Preston won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Outrights of Australian Cup for now

South Melbourne: 31.13%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preston Lions
Australian NPL Victoria
22.08.26	Dandenong City - Preston Lions	0:0 ✺
19.08.26	Preston Lions - Melbourne City Youth	4:0 ✺
16.08.26	Preston Lions - Dandenong Thunder	3:0 ✺
Australian Cup
12.08.26	Brunswick Juventus - Preston Lions	1:4 ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
31.07.26	Preston Lions - Green Gully	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWWWT
- South Melbourne FC
Australian NPL Victoria
23.08.26	South Melbourne - Heidelberg United	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Melbourne City Youth - South Melbourne	0:3 ✺
Australian Cup
09.08.26	South Melbourne - Fremantle City	4:3 penalties ✺
Australian NPL Victoria
02.08.26	South Melbourne - St Albans Dinamo	2:0 ✺
Australian Cup
30.07.26	South Melbourne - Adelaide United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
18.07.26	South Melbourne - Preston Lions	0:0
11.04.26	Preston Lions - South Melbourne	0:3
15.06.25	South Melbourne - Preston Lions	2:1
07.03.25	Preston Lions - South Melbourne	2:0

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