Match Info

Australia Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Lakeside Stadium (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	South Melbourne		Adelaide United

	1	X	2
	3	3.8	2.05	Watch
	3.25	3.40	1.93
	3.10	3.55	1.95
	3.47	3.58	2.01
	3.16	3.66	2.08	Watch
	3.25	3.5	1.99
	3.22	3.87	2.07	Watch
	3.25	3.5	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (3.1)	3.61 ↓ (3.74)	2 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Melbourne
28.6%

Draw
25.5%

Adelaide United
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

24.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Melbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	9.1%	72.7%

South Melbourne - Adelaide United Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. South Melbourne will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Adelaide will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Adelaide: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Charlston J. (G) 17. Giannakopoulos T. 4. Jankovic M. (C) 5. Ramazani H. 27. Painter-Andrews J. 21. Pasquali S. 8. Retre P. 16. Cocks A. 7. Yoo D. 10. Juach B. 11. Uchida Y.	22. Smits J. (G) 14. Barnett J. 3. Vriends B. 4. Kikianis P. 62. Talladira F. 44. White R. 23. Duzel L. 55. Alagich E. 12. Yull J. 10. Muniz J. 11. Goodwin C. (C)
Substitutes
13. Lackay J. 19. Mesourouni A. 12. Nkomo R. 24. Saristavros G. 18. Skapoulas A. 9. Swibel J. 1. Van Riet A. (G)	87. Anselmo 35. Burkitt B. 40. Cox E. (G) 58. Crawford H. 65. Garuccio J. 52. Phillis S. 74. Tatu A.
Coaches
Cohadzic S.	Andrioli A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Goodwin C. ⚽, Muniz J. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Juach B. ⚽, Retre P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', Alagich E. 🟨,
68', 2 - 1, Uchida Y. ⚽, Yoo D. (A),
69', Goodwin C. ↓, Crawford H. ↑,
72', Muniz J. 🟨,
76', Duzel L. ↓, Anselmo ↑,
82', Retre P. ↓, Lackay J. ↑,
82', Cocks A. ↓, Nkomo R. ↑,
85', Talladira F. ↓, Burkitt B. ↑,
85', Alagich E. ↓, Tatu A. ↑,
90', Juach B. ↓, Swibel J. ↑,

Preview

South Melbourne is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Adelaide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Adelaide could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Melbourne FC
Australian NPL Victoria
24.07.26	Oakleigh Cannons - South Melbourne	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	South Melbourne - Preston Lions	0:0 ✺
10.07.26	Dandenong City - South Melbourne	0:2 ✺
05.07.26	South Melbourne - Dandenong Thunder	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	South Melbourne - Green Gully	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTWWL
- Adelaide United
Club Friendly
20.07.26	Playford City Patriots - Adelaide United	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Cove - Adelaide United	0:5 ✺
Australian A-League
15.05.26	Adelaide United - Auckland FC	0:3 ✺
09.05.26	Auckland FC - Adelaide United	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Melbourne City - Adelaide United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLTW

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