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Current Win Probability
Preston North End 31.5%
Draw 27%
Millwall 41.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.6%
27.6%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.1%
27.2%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
37.5%
50%
Preston North End - Millwall Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Preston will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Millwall will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Preston (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5 - under (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Preston (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Iversen D. (G) 24. Offiah O. 14. Storey J. 16. Hughes A. 4. Clarke H. 27. Leroy L. 15. Thompson J. (C) 3. Vukcevic A. 7. Devine A. 9. Erabi J. 10. Lang C.
34. Marschall F. (G) 18. Leonard R. 6. Taylor C. 5. Cooper J. (C) 3. Sturge Z. 49. Mazou-Sacko D. 14. Metcalfe J. 7. Arconte T. 10. Neghli C. 22. Lisbie K. 13. Dykes L.
Substitutes
37. Burgzorg D. 20. Gibbs L. 30. Gryba G. 6. Lindsay L. 23. Moran A. 21. Nicholls L. (G) 11. Small T. 2. Valentin P.
23. Batth D. 4. Crama T. 15. Crocombe M. (G) 25. Cundle L. 45. Doughty A. 35. Issoufou Y. 29. Lovelace Z. 2. Osei-Tutu J. 17. Sykes M.
Coaches
Alexander G.
Neil A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Leroy L. 🟨,
19', Metcalfe J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Clarke H. ↓, Valentin P. ↑,
59', Lang C. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
66', Leonard R. ↓, Crama T. ↑,
66', Lisbie K. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
71', Mazou-Sacko D. 🟨,
72', Vukcevic A. ↓, Small T. ↑,
74', Arconte T. ↓, Sykes M. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Neghli C. ⚽, Cundle L. (A),
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 23rd in the Relegation - League One and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Preston won 0.
Preston is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Millwall have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Preston: McCann A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Potts B.
(Ankle Injury).
Confirmed absences for Millwall: Coburn J.
(Muscle Injury)
Crama T.
(Ankle Injury)
De Norre C.
(Muscle Injury)
Ivanovic M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jensen L.
(Muscle Injury)
Leonard R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Luongo M.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Preston: Carroll T.
(Ankle Injury).
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Preston has recorded 2 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:27 (averaging 0.8:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Preston against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 8:14 goals (averaging 0.9:1.6 per game).
Outrights of English League Championship for now
Millwall: 5.26% Preston: 0.66%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Millwall
9
4
2
3
16:15
1
14
24
Preston
9
1
1
7
8:16
-8
4
Last Results with these Odds
Millwall - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.81%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.