Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 27

Date: 23 February 2024, Friday

Location: Preussenstadion (Munster)

Referee: Kampka R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 1


	Preußen Münster		Duisburg

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.75	4
	1.83	3.75	4	Watch
	1.89	3.7	3.75
	1.85	3.87	4.22
	1.75	3.6	3.6
	1.78	3.82	3.92
	1.82	3.7	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.89)	3.74 ↑ (3.74)	3.96 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preußen Münster
51.5%

Draw
25%

Duisburg
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

24.7%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

23.9%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preußen Münster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	30.8%	0%

Preußen Münster - Duisburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Münster will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Münster: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Schulze M. (G) 27. ter Horst J. 15. Scherder S. 24. Koulis N. 22. Schad D. 11. Deters T. 32. Bazzoli L. 26. Mrowca S. 18. Lorenz M. 23. Batmaz M. 9. Grodowski J.	1. Muller V. (G) 21. Feltscher R. 15. Fleckstein T. 17. Knoll M. 29. Bitter J. 11. Kolle N. 5. Castaneda S. 10. Pledl T. 16. Michelbrink J. 33. Ginczek D. 40. Esswein A.
Substitutes
5. Bouchama Y. 20. Grote D. 42. Hahn A. 7. Kyerewaa D. 10. Oubeyapwa S. 21. Preissinger R. 40. Schenk J. (G) 28. Steczyk D. 25. Wegkamp G.	9. Bakir A. 24. Braune M. (G) 39. Engin A. 31. Girth B. 22. Kother T. 20. Muller R. 7. Pusch K. 4. Senger M. 13. Zenga E.
Coaches
Hildmann S.	Schommers B.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Münster won 0.

Münster is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Duisburg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Duisburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Münster is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Münster won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Münster won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preußen Münster
German 3 Bundesliga
17.02.24	Lübeck - Preußen Münster	0:3 ✺
13.02.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Preußen Münster	2:3 ✺
10.02.24	Preußen Münster - Sandhausen	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Waldhof Mannheim - Preußen Münster	2:2 ✺
28.01.24	Preußen Münster - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWTTW
- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
17.02.24	Duisburg - Viktoria Köln	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Verl - Duisburg	1:3 ✺
04.02.24	Duisburg - Jahn Regensburg	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Ulm 1846 - Duisburg	2:2 ✺
23.01.24	Duisburg - Hallescher	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
30.09.23	Duisburg - Preußen Münster	0:0
01.02.20	Preußen Münster - Duisburg	1:4
31.07.19	Duisburg - Preußen Münster	2:0
12.02.17	Duisburg - Preußen Münster	3:2
10.08.16	Preußen Münster - Duisburg	1:1
03.05.15	Duisburg - Preußen Münster	2:1
02.11.14	Preußen Münster - Duisburg	1:0

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