Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 21

Date: 7 February 2025, Friday

Location: Preussenstadion (Munster)

Referee: Haslberger W. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Fox Sports
Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 1
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+, Onefootball


	Preußen Münster		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2.1
	3.2	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.48	3.65	2.15
	3.49	3.61	2.12	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.49	3.65	2.03	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (3.62)	3.51 ↓ (3.77)	2.08 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preußen Münster
28.1%

Draw
26.7%

Hamburger SV
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

24.8%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

23.8%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preußen Münster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hamburger SV could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	21.2%	69.7%

Preußen Münster - Hamburger SV Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Münster will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). Hamburg will win (votes: 23 - 69.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 54% – 85.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schenk J. (G) 24. Koulis N. 16. Paetow T. 29. Frenkert L. 27. ter Horst J. 20. Hendrix J. 2. Kirkeskov M. (C) 4. Kinsombi D. 7. Kyerewaa D. 30. Amenyido E. 13. Pick F.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 30. Hefti S. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 4. Schonlau S. (C) 28. Muheim M. 17. Karabec A. 23. Meffert J. 20. Richter M. 29. Sahiti E. 27. Selke D. 49. Stange O.
Substitutes
32. Bazzoli L. 26. Behrens M. (G) 31. Fridjonsson H. 18. Lorenz M. 14. Makridis C. 28. Nemeth A. 21. Preissinger R. 22. Schad D. 15. Scherder S.	39. Agyekum J. 7. Dompe J. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 16. Mebude A. 12. Mickel T. (G) 2. Mikelbrencis W. 6. Poreba L. 14. Reis L. 38. Rossing-Lelesiit A.
Coaches
Hildmann S.	Polzin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Frenkert L. ⚽, Kirkeskov M. (A),
45+4', 1 - 1, Selke D. ⚽, Meffert J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Stange O. ↓, Dompe J. ↑,
56', Amenyido E. ↓, Nemeth A. ↑,
57', Kyerewaa D. ↓, Makridis C. ↑,
67', Richter M. ↓, Reis L. ↑,
67', Karabec A. ↓, Konigsdorffer R. ↑,
70', Schonlau S. 🟨,
72', Hendrix J. ↓, Preissinger R. ↑,
81', Hefti S. ↓, Mikelbrencis W. ↑,
84', Dompe J. 🟨,
85', Pick F. ↓, Lorenz M. ↑,
85', Kinsombi D. ↓, Fridjonsson H. ↑,
90+3', Frenkert L. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Selke D. (Pen),
90+5', Sahiti E. ↓, Agyekum J. ↑,
90+8', Fridjonsson H. 🟨,
90+9', Lorenz M. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Recent matches Münster is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hamburg is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hamburg will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Münster: Batmaz M. (Knee Injury) Bolay L. (Muscle Injury) Mrowca S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Hamburg: Balde F. (Muscle Injury) Elfadli D. (Yellow Cards) Glatzel R. (Tendon Injury) Jatta B. (Injury) Katterbach N. (Knee Injury) Pherai I. (Muscle Injury) Raab M. (Broken Hand) Selke D. (Broken cheekbone) Soumahoro A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Münster: Kirkeskov M. (Personal Reasons)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Münster won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preußen Münster
German 2 Bundesliga
02.02.25	Kaiserslautern - Preußen Münster	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Hannover - Preußen Münster	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Preußen Münster - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.25	Preußen Münster - Ferencvárosi	0:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
21.12.24	Preußen Münster - Ulm 1846	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LTWTT
- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
02.02.25	Hamburger SV - Hannover	2:2 ✺
25.01.25	Hertha Berlin - Hamburger SV	2:3 ✺
18.01.25	Hamburger SV - Köln	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.25	FCSB - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
21.12.24	Hamburger SV - Greuther Fürth	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
31.08.24	Hamburger SV - Preußen Münster	4:1

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