Match Info

GERMANY: DFB Pokal - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Preussenstadion (Munster)

Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2
Austria	Servus TV
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	ARD, Das Erste, Servus TV, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event, tv.dfb.de, WOW
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Nigeria	Sporty TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	DAZN 4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
Slovenia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Top Event
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Preußen Münster		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	8.5	7	1.25	Watch
	10	6.75	1.25
	11	7	1.24	Watch
	10.41	6.92	1.23
	10.3	6.69	1.24	Watch
	10	6	1.2
	10.5	6.75	1.24	Watch
	11	7	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.21 ↑ (8.5)	6.76 ↑ (5.5)	1.24 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preußen Münster
9.3%

Draw
14%

Stuttgart
76.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.2%

17.3%

71.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.9%

16.8%

73.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preußen Münster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stuttgart's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Preußen Münster - Stuttgart Predictions

Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Behrens M. (G) 22. Schad D. 29. Frenkert L. 16. Paetow T. 2. Kirkeskov M. 14. Makridis C. 32. Bazzoli L. 20. Hendrix J. 18. Lorenz M. (C) 9. Grodowski J. 28. Nemeth A.	33. Nubel A. (G) 15. Stenzel P. 43. Chase A. 24. Chabot J. 7. Mittelstadt M. 32. Rieder F. 6. Stiller A. 16. Karazor A. (C) 27. Fuhrich C. 11. Woltemade N. 9. Demirovic E.
Substitutes
30. Amenyido E. 25. Bolay L. 11. Deters T. 7. Kyerewaa D. 8. Mees J. 21. Preissinger R. 1. Schenk J. (G) 15. Scherder S. 27. ter Horst J.	1. Bredlow F. (G) 17. Diehl J. 3. Hendriks R. 5. Keitel Y. 13. Kratzig F. 18. Leweling J. 8. Millot E. 14. Silas 26. Undav D.
Coaches
Hildmann S.	Hoeness S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Stiller A. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Demirovic E. ⚽, Stiller A. (A),
21', Hendrix J. 🟨,
35', 0 - 3, Stenzel P. ⚽, Demirovic E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Mittelstadt M. ↓, Kratzig F. ↑,
46', Lorenz M. ↓, Kyerewaa D. ↑,
46', Bazzoli L. ↓, Preissinger R. ↑,
46', Hendrix J. ↓, Mees J. ↑,
61', Nemeth A. ↓, Amenyido E. ↑,
61', Demirovic E. ↓, Undav D. ↑,
61', Fuhrich C. ↓, Leweling J. ↑,
72', 0 - 4, Woltemade N. ⚽, Undav D. (A),
75', Stenzel P. ↓, Hendriks R. ↑,
75', Grodowski J. ↓, Bolay L. ↑,
76', Rieder F. ↓, Diehl J. ↑,
80', 0 - 5, Karazor A. (Pen),
85', Hendriks R. 🟨,
90', Kirkeskov M. 🟨,

Preview

Münster is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Stuttgart is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stuttgart could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Stuttgart have a series of guest games.

In this match Stuttgart is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preußen Münster
German 2 Bundesliga
24.08.24	Preußen Münster - Kaiserslautern	0:1 ✺
11.08.24	Preußen Münster - Hannover	0:0 ✺
04.08.24	Greuther Fürth - Preußen Münster	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Mainz - Preußen Münster	3:1 ✺
19.07.24	Preußen Münster - Heracles Almelo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLLT
- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
24.08.24	Freiburg - Stuttgart	3:1 ✺
German Super Cup
17.08.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart	3:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Stuttgart - Athletic Bilbao	4:0 ✺
01.08.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Stuttgart	2:5 ✺
28.07.24	Kyoto Sanga - Stuttgart	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWW

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