Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App
Austria	DAZN Austria
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DF1, Sky Go Germany
North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Portugal	DAZN Eleven 1 Portugal, DAZN Portugal, Sport TV7
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Stuttgart		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.9	3.6	Watch
	2	3.6	2.9
	2	3.75	3.3	Watch
	2.06	3.72	3.01
	2.01	3.91	3.2	Watch
	2.02	3.98	3.29	Watch
	2	3.75	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.45)	3.8 ↑ (3.6)	3.22 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
46.6%

Draw
24.5%

Athletic Bilbao
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

26.2%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

26.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stuttgart's performance.

Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletic Bilbao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stuttgart that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletic Bilbao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Stuttgart - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stuttgart will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Athletic will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nubel A. (G) 15. Stenzel P. 29. Rouault A. 24. Chabot J. 13. Kratzig F. 14. Silas 16. Karazor A. 18. Leweling J. 6. Stiller A. 17. Diehl J. 9. Demirovic E.	1. Padilla A. (G) 22. Rincon Lumbreras H. 27. Egiluz U. 15. Lekue I. 3. Boiro A. 11. Olabarrieta A. 21. Herrera A. 28. Canales P. 10. Jauregizar M. 20. Gomez U. 19. Javier Marton
Substitutes
30. Beyaz O. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 45. Chase A. 49. Cisse M. 21. Drljaca S. (G) 27. Fuhrich C. 3. Hendriks R. 10. Jeong Woo-Yeong 5. Keitel Y. 7. Mittelstadt M. 32. Rieder F. 20. Stergiou L. 26. Undav D. 11. Woltemade N.	23. Ares A. 17. Berchiche Y. 7. Berenguer A. 31. De Luis J. 13. Gastesi O. (G) 2. Gorosabel A. 12. Guruzeta G. 4. Paredes A. 24. Prados Diaz B. 8. Sancet O. 6. Vesga M. 9. Williams I.
Coaches
Hoeness S.	Valverde E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Silas ⚽, Chabot J. (A),
14', 2 - 0, Demirovic E. ⚽, Diehl J. (A),
14', 🟨,
15', Herrera A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, Silas ⚽,
58', Silas ↓, Rieder F. ↑,
58', Diehl J. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
60', Padilla A. ↓, Gastesi O. ↑,
60', Boiro A. ↓, Gorosabel A. ↑,
60', Canales P. ↓, Paredes A. ↑,
60', Egiluz U. ↓, Berchiche Y. ↑,
60', Gomez U. ↓, Vesga M. ↑,
60', Herrera A. ↓, Prados Diaz B. ↑,
60', Jauregizar M. ↓, Sancet O. ↑,
61', Javier Marton ↓, Berenguer A. ↑,
61', Olabarrieta A. ↓, Guruzeta G. ↑,
79', 4 - 0, Woltemade N. ⚽,

Preview

Stuttgart in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Athletic is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Stuttgart could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Stuttgart have a series of guest games.

Stuttgart will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
Club Friendly
01.08.24	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Stuttgart	2:5 ✺
28.07.24	Kyoto Sanga - Stuttgart	3:5 ✺
20.07.24	Stuttgart - Fortuna Sittard	3:0 ✺
13.07.24	Luzern - Stuttgart	0:0 ✺
07.07.24	Hollenbach - Stuttgart	1:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWTW
- Athletic Bilbao
Club Friendly
07.08.24	Aston Villa - Athletic Bilbao	3:2 ✺
03.08.24	Athletic Bilbao - Osasuna	2:1 ✺
01.08.24	Athletic Bilbao - Eibar	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Sporting Lisbon - Athletic Bilbao	3:0 ✺
24.07.24	Racing Santander - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWLW

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