Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 9

Date: 4 October 2023, Wednesday

Location: Preussenstadion (Munster)

Referee: Michel F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Preußen Münster		Erzgebirge Aue

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.3
	2.05	3.5	3.25
	2	3.6	3.4	Watch
	2.09	3.69	3.51
	2	3.5	3.1
	2	3.6	3.32	Watch
	2.08	3.45	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2.01)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)	3.28 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Preußen Münster
45.6%

Draw
26.2%

Erzgebirge Aue
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

25.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

26.6%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Preußen Münster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	16.7%	22.2%

Preußen Münster - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Münster will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Aue will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Münster: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Schulze M. (G) 24. Koulis N. 6. Kok T. (C) 15. Scherder S. 27. ter Horst J. 32. Bazzoli L. 3. Bockle B. 26. Mrowca S. 7. Kyerewaa D. 25. Wegkamp G. 23. Batmaz M.	1. Mannel M. (G) 2. Danhof T. 24. Nkansah S. 5. Burger K. 26. Jakob K. 10. Pepic M. 21. Schikora M. 7. Seitz S. 14. Tashchy B. 34. Stefaniak M. 9. Meuer S.
Substitutes
49. Benjamins M. 5. Bouchama Y. 11. Deters T. 8. Ghindovean D. 9. Grodowski J. 42. Hahn A. 18. Lorenz M. 21. Preissinger R. 40. Schenk J. (G)	17. Elsner L. T. 40. Ferjani R. 25. Kips T. (G) 13. Majetschak E. 12. Schadlich F. 11. Sijaric O. 30. Thiel M.
Coaches
Hildmann S.	Dotchev P.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 6).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Münster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Münster will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Münster won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Münster won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Preußen Münster
German 3 Bundesliga
30.09.23	Duisburg - Preußen Münster	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
26.09.23	Preußen Münster - Bayern Munich	0:4 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
23.09.23	Preußen Münster - Lübeck	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Sandhausen - Preußen Münster	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.09.23	Hannover - Preußen Münster	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLTWT
- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
01.10.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Jahn Regensburg	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Hallescher	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.09.23	Magdeburg - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
02.09.23	1860 München - Erzgebirge Aue	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
14.05.16	Erzgebirge Aue - Preußen Münster	3:0
05.12.15	Preußen Münster - Erzgebirge Aue	0:1

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