Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 7 September 2023, Thursday


	Magdeburg		Erzgebirge Aue

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	5.25
	1.43	4.63	5.6
	1.45	4.85	6.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)	4.6 ↑ (4.33)	5.65 ↑ (5.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Magdeburg
63.8%

Draw
20%

Erzgebirge Aue
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

20.9%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

19.9%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Magdeburg - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Pollersbeck J. (G) 20. Amaechi X. (C) 8. Arslan A. 9. Castaignos L. 34. Chahed T. 29. Conde A. 11. El Hankouri M. 24. Hugonet J. 13. Krempicki C. 5. Lawrence J. 17. Nollenberger A.	22. Lord L. (G) 15. Bar M. 23. Barylla A. 26. Jakob K. 13. Majetschak E. 9. Meuer S. 24. Nkansah S. 21. Schikora M. 8. Schwirten J. 34. Stefaniak M. (C) 30. Thiel M.
Substitutes
19. Bell Bell L. 27. Cacutalua M. 10. Ceka J. 16. Fabisch J. 25. Gnaka S. 12. Halbouni B. 15. Heber D. 1. Reimann D. (G) 26. Schuler L.	2. Danhof T. 17. Elsner L. T. 40. Ferjani R. 19. Holzweiler K. 25. Kips T. (G) 10. Pepic M. 12. Schadlich F. 7. Seitz S. 11. Sijaric O. 14. Tashchy B. 4. Vukancic N.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Magdeburg won 2.

Magdeburg in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aue is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Magdeburg is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Magdeburg to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Magdeburg won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Magdeburg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
02.09.23	Magdeburg - Hertha Berlin	6:4 ✺
27.08.23	St. Pauli - Magdeburg	0:0 ✺
20.08.23	Holstein Kiel - Magdeburg	2:4 ✺
German DFB Pokal
14.08.23	Jahn Regensburg - Magdeburg	1:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
06.08.23	Magdeburg - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTWWW
- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
02.09.23	1860 München - Erzgebirge Aue	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Lübeck - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1 ✺
23.08.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Sandhausen	2:1 ✺
20.08.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1 ✺
06.08.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
25.08.20	Erzgebirge Aue - Magdeburg	3:1
10.01.20	Magdeburg - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga
29.01.19	Magdeburg - Erzgebirge Aue	1:0
12.08.18	Erzgebirge Aue - Magdeburg	0:0
Club Friendly
16.07.17	Magdeburg - Erzgebirge Aue	1:0
German 3 Bundesliga
01.04.16	Magdeburg - Erzgebirge Aue	0:3
18.10.15	Erzgebirge Aue - Magdeburg	0:0

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