Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 18

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Mantova		Lumezzane

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.7	5.75
	1.52	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.49	4.01	7.49
	1.49	4.01	7.49
	1.5	3.7	6.5
	1.44	3.88	6.6
	1.49	3.75	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.5)	3.83 ↑ (3.6)	6.65 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
62%

Draw
24.1%

Lumezzane
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

25%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

23.9%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Mantova - Lumezzane Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Festa M. (G) 17. Radaelli N. 13. Brignani F. 5. Redolfi A. 23. Panizzi E. 28. Muroni M. 8. Burrai S. 21. Trimboli S. 7. Mensah D. 14. Galuppini F. 11. Fiori A.	1. Filigheddu S. (G) 28. Regazzetti S. 3. Pisano E. 21. Dalmazzi A. 33. Righetti S. 7. Moscati M. 18. Pesce S. 8. Cali M. 20. Spini C. 9. Gerbi E. 34. Cannavo K.
Substitutes
24. Argint G. 6. Bani C. 30. Bragantini D. 16. Cavalli T. 4. Celesia C. 9. Debenedetti A. 20. Fedel G. 45. Monachello G. 22. Napoli A. (G) 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 18. Suagher E. 10. Wieser D.	14. Basso Ricci A. 11. Capelli A. 22. Galeotti C. (G) 12. Greco E. (G) 17. Ilari C. 72. Kolaj A. 10. Malotti M. 19. Parodi G. 6. Pogliano C. 23. Poledri M. 4. Taugourdeau A.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mantova won 2.

Mantova is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lumezzane is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Mantova is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Mantova to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mantova won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Mantova won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group A
08.12.23	Vicenza Virtus - Mantova	0:2 ✺
03.12.23	Mantova - Renate	4:1 ✺
24.11.23	Atalanta U23 - Mantova	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Mantova - Trento	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Fiorenzuola - Mantova	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW
- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
08.12.23	Lumezzane - Pro Sesto	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	Padova - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
30.11.23	Padova - Lumezzane	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
26.11.23	Lumezzane - Novara	1:1 ✺
18.11.23	Virtus Verona - Lumezzane	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
23.04.17	Mantova - Lumezzane	1:1
07.12.16	Lumezzane - Mantova	2:0
Italian Serie C Group A
28.02.16	Lumezzane - Mantova	3:2
18.10.15	Mantova - Lumezzane	2:0
25.01.15	Mantova - Lumezzane	2:1
10.09.14	Lumezzane - Mantova	0:0

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