Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 12

Date: 3 November 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Pro Sesto		Renate

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.87	2.15
	3.3	3	2.25	Watch
	3.68	2.92	2.27
	3.68	2.89	2.24
	3.2	2.9	2.2
	3.38	2.98	2.13
	3.35	2.95	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.31)	2.93 ↑ (2.9)	2.2 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pro Sesto
27%

Draw
31.3%

Renate
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

31.1%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

32.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pro Sesto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pro Sesto's form might have worsened.

Renate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Renate's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Sesto than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pro Sesto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renate than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Renate, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	55.6%	33.3%

Pro Sesto - Renate Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pro Sesto will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Renate will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Botti F. (G) 30. Toninelli D. 5. Marianucci L. 65. Giorgeschi S. 20. Barranca F. 4. Gattoni T. 18. Palazzi A. 3. Maurizii E. 7. Sala A. 32. Sereni M. 98. Bruschi N.	22. Fallani M. (G) 4. Possenti M. 5. Gasperi M. 19. Mondonico D. 44. Bosisio M. 23. Currarino M. 80. Garetto M. 34. Auriletto S. 11. Rolando M. 95. Sorrentino D. 77. Sartore F.
Substitutes
11. Arras D. 9. Basili D. 17. D'Alessio L. 26. Ferro L. 12. Formosa S. (G) 50. Iotti L. 23. Mapelli F. 28. Marchisano M. 10. Petrelli E. 16. Petrungaro L.	13. Alcibiade R. 7. Anghileri M. 27. Ciarmoli L. 24. Ghibellini C. 17. Iacovo C. 9. Maletic M. 20. Nicolini L. 1. Ombra F. (G) 10. Procaccio A. 30. Tremolada M.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pro Sesto won 1.

Pro Sesto is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Renate is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Renate will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Pro Sesto won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Pro Sesto won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pro Sesto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
28.10.23	Giana Erminio - Pro Sesto	1:1 ✺
24.10.23	Pro Sesto - Virtus Verona	0:1 ✺
20.10.23	Trento - Pro Sesto	3:1 ✺
14.10.23	Pro Sesto - Padova	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Pro Sesto - Novara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLTT
- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
28.10.23	Renate - Novara	2:2 ✺
24.10.23	Padova - Renate	0:0 ✺
21.10.23	Renate - Pro Patria	1:2 ✺
15.10.23	Vicenza Virtus - Renate	1:2 ✺
07.10.23	Renate - Triestina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
14.05.23	Pro Sesto - Renate	1:1
19.03.23	Pro Sesto - Renate	0:0
19.11.22	Renate - Pro Sesto	3:4
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Renate - Pro Sesto	3:1
Italian Serie C Group A
29.01.22	Pro Sesto - Renate	1:4
26.09.21	Renate - Pro Sesto	3:0
25.04.21	Pro Sesto - Renate	0:0

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