Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Torneo Intermedio - Round 6

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla (Melo)

Referee: Fuentes J. (Uru)


	Cerro Largo		Rampla Juniors

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.6	Watch
	1.98	3.2	3.6
				Watch
	2.04	3.39	3.89
	1.98	3.29	3.63	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.6
	2	3.31	3.75	Watch
	1.99	3.3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.97)	3.29 ↓ (3.36)	3.67 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Largo
46.7%

Draw
28.1%

Rampla Juniors
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

27.8%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

26.7%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Largo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Rampla Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Cerro Largo - Rampla Juniors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Santilli G. (G) 13. Furtado N. 23. Castillo E. 2. Prado A. 8. Rabino R. 21. Pereira H. 17. Garcia A. 15. Assis S. (C) 6. Olivera E. 16. de Lucca A. 11. Nunez S.	12. Samurio A. (G) 17. Barrandeguy F. 3. Centurion L. 30. Madruga A. 8. Gabriel G. 18. Adoryan T. 26. Nunez M. 10. Machado G. 28. Casuriaga F. 14. Rosa D. 19. Burruzo M.
Substitutes
26. Cabral N. 28. Cosentino L. 5. Di Pippa A. 7. Estol M. 4. Ferrares B. 3. Gonzalez T. 27. Mir M. 1. Monteagudo A. 29. Rollano S. 9. Sosa Sanchez S.	33. Camargo G. 22. Dibble N. 23. Etcheverry J. E. 1. Freitas A. (G) 4. Graces A. 21. Leites A. 5. Mendez I. 15. Plada 20. Tamareo L. 2. Toledo J.
Coaches
Jacinto Rodriguez J.	Martinez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Rosa D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rosa D. ↓, Plada J. ↑,
59', Madruga A. 🟨,
64', Garcia A. ↓, Rollano S. ↑,
64', de Lucca A. ↓, Cosentino L. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Adoryan T. ⚽,
71', Castillo E. 🟨,
73', Pereira H. ↓, Sosa Sanchez S. ↑,
76', Machado G. ↓, Graces A. ↑,
86', Casuriaga F. ↓, Etcheverry J. E. ↑,
87', Madruga A. 🟨,
90', Burruzo M. ↓, Toledo J. ↑,
90+7', Furtado N. 🟨,
90+8', Etcheverry J. E. 🟨,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 3 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerro Largo won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cerro Largo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cerro Largo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Cerro Largo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.07.24	Cerro - Cerro Largo	0:1 ✺
06.07.24	Cerro Largo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:0 ✺
23.06.24	Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo	0:4 ✺
17.06.24	Boston River - Cerro Largo	0:2 ✺
09.06.24	Cerro Largo - Danubio	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLWT
- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.07.24	Rampla Juniors - Liverpool Montevideo	3:2 ✺
07.07.24	Nacional Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
23.06.24	Rampla Juniors - Miramar Misiones	1:2 ✺
16.06.24	Danubio - Rampla Juniors	2:0 ✺
11.06.24	Rampla Juniors - Boston River	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
11.03.24	Cerro Largo - Rampla Juniors	2:0
05.10.19	Cerro Largo - Rampla Juniors	5:1
10.08.19	Rampla Juniors - Cerro Largo	1:1
10.03.19	Rampla Juniors - Cerro Largo	2:1
07.04.12	Rampla Juniors - Cerro Largo	0:3

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