Match Info

URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 26

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Uruguay Montevideo		Progreso

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.25
	2.85	3.2	2.3
	2.74	3.14	2.34
	2.74	3.14	2.34
	2.8	3.4	2.15
	2.76	3.24	2.32
	2.8	3.2	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (3.24)	3.22 ↓ (3.65)	2.29 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay Montevideo
32.6%

Draw
28%

Progreso
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

24.9%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

24.5%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Progreso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Progreso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Uruguay Montevideo - Progreso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 and 3).

Recent matches Uruguay Montevideo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Progreso is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Progreso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Progreso will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Uruguay Montevideo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Uruguay Montevideo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.11.23	Tacuarembó - Uruguay Montevideo	2:0 ✺
24.11.23	Albion Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Sud América	1:1 ✺
14.11.23	Juventud de Las Piedras - Uruguay Montevideo	0:2 ✺
10.11.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTWL
- CA Progreso
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.11.23	Progreso - Albion Montevideo	3:2 ✺
24.11.23	Sud América - Progreso	0:4 ✺
18.11.23	Progreso - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1 ✺
14.11.23	Atenas de San Carlos - Progreso	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Progreso - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.07.23	Progreso - Uruguay Montevideo	1:2
04.03.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Progreso	0:1
24.08.22	Uruguay Montevideo - Progreso	1:0
28.05.22	Progreso - Uruguay Montevideo	0:2

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