Match Info

URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 11

Date: 14 July 2023, Friday

Location: Parque Abraham Paladino (Montevideo)


	Progreso		Sud América

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.8	5.5
	1.5	3.7	6.2
	1.48	3.84	5.9
	1.5	3.75	5.8
	1.46	4.15	6.25	Watch
	1.5	3.9	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.45)	3.86 ↓ (4)	5.88 ↓ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progreso
61%

Draw
23.5%

Sud América
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

22.6%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

21.3%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Sud América has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Progreso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sud América than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Progreso - Sud América Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura: ) and 12).

Progreso is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sud América has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Progreso is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Progreso won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Progreso won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Progreso
Uruguayan Segunda Division
07.07.23	Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso	1:1 ✺
30.06.23	Progreso - Atenas de San Carlos	3:1 ✺
24.06.23	Rampla Juniors - Progreso	0:1 ✺
17.06.23	Progreso - Oriental de La Paz	0:2 ✺
10.06.23	Cerrito - Progreso	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWLW
- IA Sud América
Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.07.23	Sud América - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
02.07.23	Albion Montevideo - Sud América	2:1 ✺
25.06.23	Tacuarembó - Sud América	2:0 ✺
18.06.23	Sud América - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1 ✺
10.06.23	Atenas de San Carlos - Sud América	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
02.04.23	Progreso - Sud América	2:0
17.09.22	Progreso - Sud América	3:1
22.06.22	Sud América - Progreso	1:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
25.10.21	Progreso - Sud América	0:0
29.06.21	Sud América - Progreso	2:4

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