Match Info

URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 9

Date: 30 June 2023, Friday

Location: Parque Abraham Paladino (Montevideo)


	Progreso		Atenas de San Carlos

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.5	5.75
	1.55	3.6	5.75
	1.54	3.69	5.82
	1.55	3.5	5.8
	1.53	3.75	6
	1.5	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.53)	3.63 ↑ (3.6)	5.85 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progreso
59.4%

Draw
25.1%

Atenas de San Carlos
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

25.3%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

24.6%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Atenas de San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Progreso - Atenas de San Carlos Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Progreso will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Atenas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura: ) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Progreso won 3.

Progreso is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Atenas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Progreso is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Progreso to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Progreso won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Progreso won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Progreso
Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.06.23	Rampla Juniors - Progreso	0:1 ✺
17.06.23	Progreso - Oriental de La Paz	0:2 ✺
10.06.23	Cerrito - Progreso	1:3 ✺
04.06.23	Progreso - Potencia	2:0 ✺
28.05.23	Bella Vista - Progreso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWW
- Atenas de San Carlos
Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.06.23	Atenas de San Carlos - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
17.06.23	Albion Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1 ✺
10.06.23	Atenas de San Carlos - Sud América	0:0 ✺
03.06.23	Juventud de Las Piedras - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1 ✺
28.05.23	Tacuarembó - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
10.03.23	Progreso - Atenas de San Carlos	5:0
03.09.22	Progreso - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0
10.06.22	Atenas de San Carlos - Progreso	1:0
10.04.22	Progreso - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.11.18	Progreso - Atenas de San Carlos	5:0
31.05.18	Progreso - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1
05.05.18	Atenas de San Carlos - Progreso	0:6

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