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Current Win Probability
Cerrito 40.9%
Draw 26.8%
Progreso 32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
29%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Cerrito have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Progreso have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
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Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura: )).
Cerrito is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Progreso is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Cerrito won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
Including matches at home between the teams Cerrito won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.