The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Puebla 9.4%
Draw 17%
Cruz Azul 73.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.1%
20.5%
64.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.5%
19.7%
66.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puebla's form might have worsened.
Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cruz Azul's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puebla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cruz Azul, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Puebla - Cruz Azul Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Machuca Rubio S. G. (G) 26. De Alba L. 6. Fernandez L. 3. Garcia M. 15. Gonzalez J. 16. Martinez D. 12. Martinez L. 23. Rodriguez C. 4. Sanchez L. 25. Suarez P. 21. Villegas Aguilar R. I. (C)
12. Godinez A. (G) 7. Angeles L. (C) 33. Chavarin A. 15. Grimaldo N. 23. Gutierrez I. 8. Lomeli A. 9. Martinez A. 16. Martinez L. 2. Miranda V. 60. Osorio H. 4. Rodriguez Perez Y.
Substitutes
14. Cruz L. 18. Gonzalez J. 52. Hernandez C. 22. Lopez Roque I. S. 8. Oviedo A. J. 19. Perez P. (G) 7. Rojas S. 24. Silva V. 30. Solis J. 2. Vivanco Escamilla S. X.
14. Blackwood D. 13. Calderon D. 5. Gutierrez D. 17. Kirsch-Downs C. 10. Lemos S. 21. Martinez R. 6. Rodriguez L. 20. Salmoran D. 19. Valdez V. 1. Villeda M. (G)
Coaches
Morales C.
Testas D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
48', 0 - 1, Chavarin A. ⚽,
55', Grimaldo N. ↓, Lemos S. ↑,
55', Angeles L. ↓, Kirsch-Downs C. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Chavarin A. ⚽,
58', Martinez D. ↓, Solis J. ↑,
58', Gonzalez J. ↓, Vivanco Escamilla S. X. ↑,
72', Sanchez L. 🟨,
73', Martinez L. ↓, Rojas S. ↑,
73', Suarez P. ↓, Oviedo A. J. ↑,
76', Martinez A. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
76', Lomeli A. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
76', Chavarin A. ↓, Calderon D. ↑,
82', Garcia M. ↓, Lopez Roque I. S. ↑,
82', Vivanco Escamilla S. X. 🟨,
84', 0 - 3, Calderon D. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Puebla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Cruz Azul is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.8:0.9).