Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 28

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Pueblonuevo		Villanovense

	1	X	2
	4.18	3.4	1.76
	4.29	3.51	1.76
	4	3.3	1.75
	4.49	3.4	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↑ (4.18)	3.4 ↓ (3.4)	1.75 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pueblonuevo
21.4%

Draw
26.7%

Villanovense
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

26.7%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

26.4%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pueblonuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Villanovense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Pueblonuevo - Villanovense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Villanovense is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pueblonuevo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Villanovense	5	2	1	2	5:4	1	7
16	Pueblonuevo	5	0	3	2	5:10	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Pueblonuevo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
22.03.26	Cabeza del Buey - Pueblonuevo	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Pueblonuevo - Llerenense	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Badajoz - Pueblonuevo	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Pueblonuevo - Jerez	3:2 ✺
22.02.26	Pueblonuevo - Montijo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LWLWT
- CF Villanovense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
22.03.26	Villanovense - Montijo	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Moralo - Villanovense	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Villanovense - Diocesano	5:1 ✺
01.03.26	Villafranca - Villanovense	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Villanovense - Don Benito	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
16.11.25	Villanovense - Pueblonuevo	1:1

Pueblonuevo - Villanovense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide