Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - APERTURA - ROUND 8

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Real Pilar		Lugano

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.3	4.5
				Watch
	1.7	3.42	4.87
	1.7	3.42	4.87
	1.68	3.48	4.67
	1.69	3.3	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.74)	3.38 ↑ (3.36)	4.7 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Pilar
53.8%

Draw
26.9%

Lugano
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27.2%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

22.7%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Pilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Pilar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Pilar - Lugano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 and 24).

Recent matches Real Pilar is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lugano has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Real Pilar is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera C
08.03.24	Real Pilar - Central Córdoba de Rosario	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Mercedes - Real Pilar	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Real Pilar - Deportivo Muñiz	2:2 ✺
19.02.24	General Lamadrid - Real Pilar	3:0 ✺
10.02.24	Real Pilar - Ituzaingó	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTTLT
- CA Lugano
Argentinian Primera C
08.03.24	Defensores de Cambaceres - Lugano	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Lugano - Atlas General Rodríguez	1:2 ✺
23.02.24	Deportivo Español - Lugano	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Lugano - Centro Español	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Victoriano Arenas - Lugano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLL

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