Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - ROUND 37

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday


	Puerto Nuevo		Sportivo Italiano

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.87	2.35
	3.1	2.95	2.3	Watch
	3.26	2.69	2.42
	3.04	3	2.28
	3	2.95	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.94)	2.89 ↓ (2.9)	2.34 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puerto Nuevo
29.8%

Draw
31.4%

Sportivo Italiano
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

31.3%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

31.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puerto Nuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Puerto Nuevo - Sportivo Italiano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sportivo Italiano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Puerto Nuevo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Puerto Nuevo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Puerto Nuevo
Argentinian Primera C
25.09.23	Berazategui - Puerto Nuevo	0:1 ✺
17.09.23	Puerto Nuevo - Club Luján	1:2 ✺
09.09.23	Real Pilar - Puerto Nuevo	2:0 ✺
04.09.23	Puerto Nuevo - Liniers	0:0 ✺
27.08.23	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Puerto Nuevo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLLTW
- Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera C
23.09.23	Sportivo Italiano - Ferrocarril Midland	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Atlético Claypole - Sportivo Italiano	2:0 ✺
09.09.23	Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Español	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Berazategui - Sportivo Italiano	0:1 ✺
19.08.23	Sportivo Italiano - Club Luján	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
19.05.23	Sportivo Italiano - Puerto Nuevo	2:0
30.07.22	Sportivo Italiano - Puerto Nuevo	0:1
29.03.22	Puerto Nuevo - Sportivo Italiano	1:3

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