Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 9

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday


	Pulpileño		Lorca Deportiva

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.75	2.6
	2.7	2.85	2.65
	2.31	2.98	2.95
	2.35	3.05	3	Watch
	2.61	2.9	2.62
	2.7	2.85	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.22)	2.9 ↓ (3.25)	2.75 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pulpileño
35.6%

Draw
31.3%

Lorca Deportiva
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.8%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pulpileño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pulpileño's form might have worsened.

Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pulpileño than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pulpileño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Pulpileño - Lorca Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Moreno F. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Carrasco A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 1 - 2, Carrasco A. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Pulpileño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
21.12.24	Pulpileño - Caravaca	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Minerva - Pulpileño	0:0 ✺
07.12.24	Pulpileño - Muleño	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	El Palmar - Pulpileño	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	Pulpileño - Plus Ultra	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTWWW
- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
21.12.24	Lorca Deportiva - Bala Azul	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Alcantarilla - Lorca Deportiva	1:3 ✺
08.12.24	Lorca Deportiva - Caravaca	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Minerva - Lorca Deportiva	2:2 ✺
17.11.24	El Palmar - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
21.04.24	Lorca Deportiva - Pulpileño	1:0
03.12.23	Pulpileño - Lorca Deportiva	0:0
07.05.23	Lorca Deportiva - Pulpileño	2:1
30.04.23	Pulpileño - Lorca Deportiva	2:2
22.01.23	Pulpileño - Lorca Deportiva	0:5
24.09.22	Lorca Deportiva - Pulpileño	1:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
25.07.20	Lorca Deportiva - Pulpileño	1:1

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