Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - CLAUSURA - ROUND 15

Date: 5 April 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico de Villahermosa (Villahermosa)

Referee: Aguirre G. (Mex)


	Pumas Tabasco		Atlético Morelia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.4
	2.5	3.25	2.5
	2.65	3.46	2.64
	2.75	3.1	2.35
	2.64	3.32	2.53
	2.65	3.3	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (3.07)	3.26 ↑ (2.9)	2.48 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pumas Tabasco
34.9%

Draw
28.1%

Atlético Morelia
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

31.3%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

30.6%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pumas Tabasco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pumas Tabasco's performance.

Atlético Morelia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pumas Tabasco than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pumas Tabasco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Pumas Tabasco - Atlético Morelia Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Atlético Morelia will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Pumas Tabasco is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Morelia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pumas Tabasco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pumas Tabasco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Pumas Tabasco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pumas Tabasco
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
28.03.23	Mineros de Zacatecas - Pumas Tabasco	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Pumas Tabasco - Raya2 Expansión	1:3 ✺
22.03.23	Alacranes de Durango - Pumas Tabasco	1:1 ✺
14.03.23	Pumas Tabasco - Atlético La Paz	1:1 ✺
09.03.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Pumas Tabasco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLTTT
- Atlético Morelia
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
02.04.23	Atlético Morelia - Celaya	3:2 ✺
26.03.23	Dorados - Atlético Morelia	0:1 ✺
23.03.23	Leones Negros UdeG - Atlético Morelia	0:1 ✺
15.03.23	Atlético Morelia - Raya2 Expansión	1:0 ✺
07.03.23	Atlético Morelia - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
24.07.22	Atlético Morelia - Pumas Tabasco	1:1
13.04.22	Pumas Tabasco - Atlético Morelia	0:1
28.10.21	Atlético Morelia - Pumas Tabasco	0:1
03.03.21	Pumas Tabasco - Atlético Morelia	0:1

Pumas Tabasco - Atlético Morelia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide