Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - CLAUSURA - ROUND 12

Date: 22 March 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Francisco Zarco (Durango)

Referee: Lopez I. (Mex)


	Alacranes de Durango		Pumas Tabasco

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.25	3.4
	2.02	3.2	3.55
	2.12	3.05	3.05
	2	3.43	3.92
	1.88	3.2	3.8
	1.94	3.44	3.72	Watch
	1.98	3.45	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.2)	3.29 ↑ (3.1)	3.55 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alacranes de Durango
46.3%

Draw
27.9%

Pumas Tabasco
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

27.2%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alacranes de Durango's performance.

Pumas Tabasco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pumas Tabasco than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Alacranes de Durango - Pumas Tabasco Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Alacranes de Durango will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Pumas Tabasco will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

The competitors look crappy now.

Pumas Tabasco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alacranes de Durango will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alacranes de Durango won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
19.03.23	Celaya - Alacranes de Durango	2:1 ✺
07.03.23	Alacranes de Durango - Dorados	3:0 ✺
28.02.23	Atlético La Paz - Alacranes de Durango	2:1 ✺
22.02.23	Venados - Alacranes de Durango	1:0 ✺
15.02.23	Alacranes de Durango - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLT
- Pumas Tabasco
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
14.03.23	Pumas Tabasco - Atlético La Paz	1:1 ✺
09.03.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Pumas Tabasco	0:0 ✺
28.02.23	Pumas Tabasco - Venados	1:1 ✺
22.02.23	Pumas Tabasco - Celaya	0:1 ✺
17.02.23	Tapatío - Pumas Tabasco	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
09.08.22	Pumas Tabasco - Alacranes de Durango	2:1

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