Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Yankel Rosenthal (San Pedro Sula)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Brazil	Disney+
Canada	OneSoccer
Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Concacaf GO, Paramount+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	CD Marathón		Alajuelense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.80	2.75	2.45
	2.70	3.05	2.35	Watch
	2.88	2.68	2.74
	2.75	2.86	2.81	Watch
	2.85	2.60	2.70
				Watch
	2.90	2.85	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.7)	2.8 ↓ (3.05)	2.59 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Marathón
32.3%

Draw
32.5%

Alajuelense
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

29.2%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

27.8%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Alajuelense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

CD Marathón - Alajuelense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rougier J. (G) 22. Argueta C. 4. Rivera J. (C) 3. Bodden K. 14. Arriaga Chavez J. A. 8. Sorto Caballero T. A. 29. Perez C. 10. Ramirez D. 9. Farioli B. 72. Moreno Y. 77. Elis A.	23. Ortega Olivera W. J. (G) 26. Pinar F. 21. Molina Y. 15. Samadian F. 22. Matarrita R. 24. Salazar A. 35. Parkins R. 99. Michel K. 5. Borges C. (C) 7. Hernandez A. 18. Cisneros R.
Substitutes
60. Arriaga L. 20. Bueso J. 39. Canales M. 24. Carcamo L. 28. Card S. 7. Castillo I. 13. Fernandez J. 12. Mejia Y. 43. Montoya L. 21. Ramos O. 23. Samudio C. (G) 41. Sevilla C.	29. Aguilar D. 39. Cruz E. 11. Diaz L. 27. McDonald K. 1. Mora B. (G) 34. Perez C. 42. Ruiz J. 28. Sosa Y. 32. Unmuth L. 40. Velasquez D. (G) 14. Wilson R. 9. Zaldivar A.
Coaches
Rudman S. G.	Rescalvo I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Hernandez A. ⚽, Borges C. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Moreno Y. ⚽,
37', Matarrita R. 🟨,
39', Parkins R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Parkins R. ↓, Wilson R. ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Ramirez D. ⚽, Moreno Y. (A),
62', Salazar A. 🟨,
63', Michel K. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
71', Ramirez D. ↓, Bueso J. ↑,
71', Moreno Y. ↓, Mejia Y. ↑,
76', Farioli B. ↓, Castillo I. ↑,
77', Elis A. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
82', Hernandez A. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
82', Cisneros R. ↓, Zaldivar A. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Zaldivar A. ⚽, Wilson R. (A),
90+1', Borges C. ↓, Aguilar D. ↑,
90+2', Sorto Caballero T. A. 🟥,

Preview

First leg.

Marathón is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alajuelense is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Marathón has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marathón won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional
05.09.26	CD Marathón - Estrella Roja de Danlí	5:0 ✺
29.08.26	Génesis PN - CD Marathón	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
26.08.26	CD Marathón - Real Estelí	3:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
23.08.26	CD Marathón - Real España	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
19.08.26	CD Marathón - Alianza San Miguel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWTL
- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
05.09.26	Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Pérez Zeledón - Alajuelense	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
26.08.26	Alajuelense - Plaza Amador	3:1 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
23.08.26	Alajuelense - San Carlos	0:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
20.08.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Alajuelense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Central American Cup
01.08.24	Alajuelense - CD Marathón	3:1

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