Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Puntarenas Miguel Angel Lito Perez Treacy (Puntarenas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	TDMAX, Tigo Sports


	Puntarenas FC		San Carlos

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.4	5
	1.66	3.5	4.33
	1.62	3.6	5.15	Watch
	1.6	3.79	6.14
	1.64	3.73	5.38	Watch
	1.62	3.4	4.8
	1.64	3.48	4.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.8)	3.56 ↑ (3.48)	5.11 ↑ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puntarenas FC
56.3%

Draw
25.7%

San Carlos
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

26.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

25.7%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puntarenas FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puntarenas FC than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Carlos than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Puntarenas FC - San Carlos Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Puntarenas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Puntarenas FC will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pineda A. (G) 25. Gomez K. 4. Decas W. 15. Munoz H. (C) 98. Gomez I. 19. Renteria W. 12. Villalobos K. 14. Sinclair A. 30. Segura U. 11. Taylor R. 21. Rodriguez D.	1. Gonzalez M. (G) 17. Evans J. 6. Piedra Y. (C) 22. Aguero J. 92. Cordoba K. 5. Martinez C. 10. Cerdas K. 30. Masis D. 31. Hernandez E. 38. Gomez K. 18. Aguilar J.
Substitutes
77. Alvarez P. 33. Barrera G. (G) 9. Carballo R. 10. Cole R. 22. Colindres D. 41. Cordero D. 90. Cordoba J. 7. Hernandez J. 8. Lopez J. 5. Samadian F.	33. Castro G. 11. Cordoba R. 4. Fonseca P. 19. McDonald J. 41. Pilarte J. 26. Rojas O. 12. Sanchez D. 70. Solano C. 23. Vega J. (G) 21. Venegas J.
Coaches
Alpizar C.	Centeno W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Gomez I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Aguilar J. ↓, Venegas J. ↑,
65', Taylor R. ↓, Cordoba J. ↑,
65', Colindres D. ↓, Carballo R. ↑,
72', Sinclair A. 🟨,
74', Gomez I. ↓, Alvarez P. ↑,
80', Rodriguez D. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
80', Sinclair A. ↓, Samadian F. ↑,
82', Martinez C. ↓, Cordoba R. ↑,
83', Piedra Y. ↓, Fonseca P. ↑,
83', Cerdas K. ↓, Rojas O. ↑,
88', Gomez K. ↓, McDonald J. ↑,
89', Segura U. 🟨,
90+3', Munoz H. 🟨,
90+5', Cordoba K. 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puntarenas won 2.

Puntarenas is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

San Carlos is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

San Carlos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Puntarenas is the team to beat.

We predict that Puntarenas will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Puntarenas won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Puntarenas won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	San Carlos	9	5	0	4	8:9	-1	15
7	Puntarenas FC	9	3	2	4	8:13	-5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puntarenas FC
Costa Rican Primera Division
28.02.26	Puntarenas FC - Alajuelense	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Sporting San José - Puntarenas FC	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Puntarenas FC - Pérez Zeledón	1:0 ✺
Costa Rican Copa
10.02.26	Puntarenas FC - Herediano	3:0 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
06.02.26	Municipal Liberia - Puntarenas FC	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.6 WWWWW
- AD San Carlos
Costa Rican Primera Division
01.03.26	San Carlos - Cartagines	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	San Carlos - Herediano	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Guadalupe - San Carlos	3:4 ✺
08.02.26	Deportivo Saprissa - San Carlos	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	San Carlos - Municipal Liberia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
21.01.26	San Carlos - Puntarenas FC	1:0
23.11.25	San Carlos - Puntarenas FC	1:1
26.07.25	Puntarenas FC - San Carlos	1:2
11.04.25	Puntarenas FC - San Carlos	1:0
16.02.25	San Carlos - Puntarenas FC	0:1
01.12.24	Puntarenas FC - San Carlos	0:1
15.09.24	San Carlos - Puntarenas FC	2:1

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