Match Info

Division 1 - Round 8

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach (Niepołomice)

Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Puszcza Niepołomice		ŁKS Łódź

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.10	2.10
	3.20	3.20	2.10
	2.88	3.25	2.17
	3.49	3.36	2.18
	3.02	3.3	2.32	Watch
	3.45	3.30	2.12
	3.31	3.18	2.07
	3.10	3.10	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (3.15)	3.22 ↓ (3.33)	2.14 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puszcza Niepołomice
28.7%

Draw
28.5%

ŁKS Łódź
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

28.1%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

27.3%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ŁKS Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ŁKS Łódź than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Puszcza Niepołomice - ŁKS Łódź Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andrzejczak F. (G) 23. Przybylko K. 2. Kasolik K. 64. Wolowiec K. 33. Strajnar M. 8. Nascimento F. (C) 34. Piekarski A. 17. Iwao K. 53. Trubeha A. 10. Cholewiak M. 99. Kurzeja B.	77. Weglarz D. (G) 3. Falowski K. 22. Craciun A. (C) 4. Farbiszewski B. 7. Sokol D. 88. Terlecki K. 28. Kaput M. 10. Strzalek I. 11. Blachewicz M. 33. Szczygiel L. 13. Podlinski K.
Substitutes
21. Gerstenstein O. 13. Jaworski F. 77. Kaminski W. 6. Kocar O. 11. Korczakowski O. 97. Kowal W. (G) 28. Pieprzyca I. 14. Szabaciuk F.	9. Arasa A. 1. Bomba L. (G) 8. Hinokio K. 38. Karasinski S. 37. Keiblinger J. 19. Nowakowski K. 6. Rudol S. 5. Wiech L. 20. Wysokinski M.
Coaches
Tulacz T.	Szoka G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Szczygiel L. ⚽,
13', Nascimento F. 🟨,
18', Terlecki K. ↓, Wysokinski M. ↑,
35', Falowski K. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Piekarski A. ⚽, Nascimento F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Piekarski A. 🟨,
56', Kurzeja B. ↓, Kaminski W. ↑,
65', Szczygiel L. ↓, Arasa A. ↑,
65', Blachewicz M. ↓, Karasinski S. ↑,
66', Wolowiec K. ↓, Szabaciuk F. ↑,
73', Iwao K. 🟨,
82', Strzalek I. ↓, Hinokio K. ↑,
82', Podlinski K. ↓, Nowakowski K. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Karasinski S. ⚽, Hinokio K. (A),
89', Piekarski A. ↓, Kocar O. ↑,
89', Nascimento F. ↓, Pieprzyca I. ↑,
89', Iwao K. ↓, Korczakowski O. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

ŁKS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

ŁKS could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Puszcza won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

LKS Lodz: 8.11% Puszcza: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	LKS Lodz	9	4	3	2	13:9	4	15
18	Puszcza	8	2	0	6	8:12	-4	6

Last Results with these Odds

Puszcza Niepołomice - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.66%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

ŁKS Łódź - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.28%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Wisła Płock II - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
29.08.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Unia Skierniewice	0:1 ✺
17.08.26	Arka Gdynia - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:0 ✺
08.08.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Odra Opole	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLW
- ŁKS Łódź
Polish Division 1
06.09.26	Arka Gdynia - ŁKS Łódź	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
03.09.26	GKS Tychy - ŁKS Łódź	1:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
28.08.26	Odra Opole - ŁKS Łódź	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	ŁKS Łódź - Stal Mielec	4:0 ✺
16.08.26	ŁKS Łódź - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
18.05.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - ŁKS Łódź	1:0
08.11.25	ŁKS Łódź - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:3
Club Friendly
09.07.24	ŁKS Łódź - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.03.24	ŁKS Łódź - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:2
26.08.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - ŁKS Łódź	2:1
Polish Division 1
03.03.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - ŁKS Łódź	1:0
10.08.22	ŁKS Łódź - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0

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