Match Info

POLAND: Ekstraklasa - Round 16

Date: 25 November 2024, Monday

Location: Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków)

Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV


	Puszcza Niepołomice		Widzew Łódź

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.05
	3.4	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.46	3.57	2.13
	3.37	3.58	2.11	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2
	3.34	3.5	2.08	Watch
	3.4	3.5	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (3.05)	3.51 ↑ (3.48)	2.07 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puszcza Niepołomice
27.8%

Draw
26.8%

Widzew Łódź
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

26.6%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

25.8%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Widzew Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	27.8%	66.7%

Puszcza Niepołomice - Widzew Łódź Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Widzew will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Widzew: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Komar K. (G) 5. Stepien K. 27. Solowiej L. 4. Szymonowicz D. 33. Abramowicz D. 14. Serafin J. (C) 70. Hajda W. 12. Stepien M. 24. Blagaic J. 6. Lee Jin-Hyun 35. Kosidis M.	1. Gikiewicz R. (G) 91. Krajewski M. 4. Zyro M. (C) 2. Silva L. 3. Kozlovsky S. 10. Alvarez F. 6. Shehu J. 37. Kerk S. 77. Sypek J. 9. Rondic I. 78. Cybulski K.
Substitutes
11. Cholewiak M. 45. Kidric R. 8. Mrozinski P. 31. Perchel M. (G) 17. Radecki M. 67. Revenco I. 9. Siemaszko A. 10. Tomalski H. 16. Walski M.	44. Diliberto N. 8. Gong H. 5. Hajrizi K. 25. Hanousek Mar. 62. Kastrati L. II. 47. Klimek A. 33. Krzywanski J. (G) 7. Lukowski J. 17. Sobol H.
Coaches
Tulacz T.	Mysliwiec D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Abramowicz D. ⚽, Solowiej L. (A),
45+1', Zyro M. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Kosidis M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sypek J. ↓, Lukowski J. ↑,
46', Cybulski K. ↓, Gong H. ↑,
66', Serafin J. 🟨,
69', Zyro M. 🟨,
73', Alvarez F. 🟨,
74', Shehu J. 🟨,
78', Rondic I. ↓, Sobol H. ↑,
78', Shehu J. ↓, Hajrizi K. ↑,
81', Stepien M. ↓, Siemaszko A. ↑,
81', Blagaic J. ↓, Radecki M. ↑,
88', Solowiej L. 🟨,
89', Kosidis M. ↓, Kidric R. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Puszcza have a series of guest games.

Widzew will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Puszcza: Yakuba R. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Widzew: Pawlowski B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Widzew: Gikiewicz R. (Injury) Ibiza (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:7 (average 0.6:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Ekstraklasa
10.11.24	Stal Mielec - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
02.11.24	Puszcza Niepołomice - Lech Poznań	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
29.10.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.10.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:1 ✺
21.10.24	Radomiak Radom - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWLL
- Widzew Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.11.24	Widzew Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin	2:0 ✺
03.11.24	Legia Warsaw - Widzew Łódź	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
31.10.24	Lechia Zielona Góra - Widzew Łódź	3:4 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.10.24	Widzew Łódź - Górnik Zabrze	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	Motor Lublin - Widzew Łódź	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
11.12.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - Widzew Łódź	1:0
23.07.23	Widzew Łódź - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:2
Club Friendly
01.07.22	Widzew Łódź - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:0
Polish Division 1
16.04.22	Widzew Łódź - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:0
02.10.21	Puszcza Niepołomice - Widzew Łódź	0:1
09.04.21	Widzew Łódź - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:0
04.10.20	Puszcza Niepołomice - Widzew Łódź	1:0

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