Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 13

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Motor Lublin Arena (Lublin)

Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Motor Lublin		Widzew Łódź

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.72	3.4	2.38	Watch
	3.02	3.45	2.38
	2.87	3.42	2.39	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.46	3.1	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.46)	3.4 ↑ (3.1)	2.45 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motor Lublin
34%

Draw
27.7%

Widzew Łódź
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

28.8%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

29%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Widzew Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	23.1%	46.2%

Motor Lublin - Widzew Łódź Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Widzew will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Widzew: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Widzew (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Widzew (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Widzew (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brkic I. (G) 28. Stolarski P. 39. Bartos M. 18. Najemski A. 24. Luberecki F. 6. Samper S. 26. Krol M. 68. Wolski B. (C) 7. Rodrigues I. 11. Fabio Ronaldo 9. Czubak K.	98. Kikolski M. (G) 91. Krajewski M. 4. Zyro M. (C) 14. Visus R. 16. Therkildsen P. 57. Akere S. 10. Alvarez F. 18. Selahi L. 55. Czyz S. 7. Fornalczyk M. 99. Bergier S.
Substitutes
77. Dadashov R. 42. Ede B. 23. Haxha F. 10. Karasek K. 16. Lewandowski F. 3. Matthys H. 2. Meyer P. 47. Palacz K. 8. Scalet M. 33. Tratnik G. (G) 19. van Hoeven B. 17. Wojcik F.	5. Andreou S. 77. Baena Perez A. 27. Ba P. M. 13. Gallapeni D. 25. Hanousek Mar. 30. Ilic V. (G) 3. Kozlovsky S. 19. Pawlowski B. 8. Teklic T. 9. Zeqiri A.
Coaches
Stolarski M.	Jovicevic I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', Jovicevic I. 🟨,
40', Krajewski M. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Krol M. ⚽, Rodrigues I. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, Czubak K. ⚽, Krol M. (A),
51', 3 - 0, Czubak K. ⚽, Bartos M. (A),
57', Therkildsen P. ↓, Gallapeni D. ↑,
57', Akere S. ↓, Baena Perez A. ↑,
67', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, van Hoeven B. ↑,
67', Czyz S. ↓, Pawlowski B. ↑,
68', Alvarez F. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
78', Czubak K. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
78', Samper S. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
78', Luberecki F. 🟨,
83', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Ba P. M. ↑,
83', Stolarski P. ↓, Wojcik F. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 8).

Recent form of Motor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Widzew has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Motor: Labojko J. (Yellow Cards) Ndiaye M. (Injury)

There will not play in Widzew: Shehu J. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Widzew: Gikiewicz R. (Inactive) Volanakis P. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Motor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Motor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Last Results with these Odds

Motor Lublin - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 36.3%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.10.25	Motor Lublin - GKS Katowice	2:5 ✺
05.10.25	Raków Częstochowa - Motor Lublin	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Motor Lublin - Radomiak Radom	2:2 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.25	Arka Gdynia - Motor Lublin	1:0 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.09.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Motor Lublin	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTLT
- Widzew Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.10.25	Widzew Łódź - Radomiak Radom	3:2 ✺
04.10.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź	2:4 ✺
28.09.25	Widzew Łódź - Raków Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź	2:3 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.09.25	Górnik Zabrze - Widzew Łódź	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
19.04.25	Widzew Łódź - Motor Lublin	1:2
19.10.24	Motor Lublin - Widzew Łódź	3:4
Club Friendly
29.06.24	Widzew Łódź - Motor Lublin	1:2

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