Match Info

Date: 26 August 2022, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach (Niepołomice)

Referee: Zlotnicki M. (Pol)


	Puszcza Niepołomice		Zagłębie Sosnowiec

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.25	2.75
	2.37	3.2	2.8
	2.3	3.25	2.8
	2.36	3.2	2.8
	2.41	3.35	3.12
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.36	3.3	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.44)	3.22 ↓ (3.29)	2.87 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puszcza Niepołomice
39.2%

Draw
28.6%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

28.6%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

29%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	23.1%	7.7%

Puszcza Niepołomice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 27 - 69.2%). Zagłębie Sosnowiec will win (votes: 3 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Puszcza: 54.7% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Division 1
20.08.22	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:1 ✺
15.08.22	Puszcza Niepołomice - Termalica Nieciecza	0:0 ✺
10.08.22	ŁKS Łódź - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
07.08.22	Puszcza Niepołomice - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:2 ✺
30.07.22	Ruch Chorzów - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTLWL
- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 1
21.08.22	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Chrobry Głogów	1:2 ✺
13.08.22	Skra Częstochowa - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:0 ✺
10.08.22	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Tychy	1:0 ✺
06.08.22	GKS Katowice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	3:1 ✺
29.07.22	Odra Opole - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
06.04.22	Puszcza Niepołomice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1
Club Friendly
22.01.22	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Puszcza Niepołomice	0:1
Polish Division 1
12.09.21	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:2
30.05.21	Puszcza Niepołomice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:4
02.12.20	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0
07.03.20	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:5
21.08.19	Puszcza Niepołomice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:2

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