Match Info

Division 1 - Round 6

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach (Niepołomice)

Referee: Szczech L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Puszcza Niepołomice		GKS Tychy

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.3	Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.65
	2.82	3.5	2.28	Watch
	2.83	3.74	2.33
	3.01	3.13	2.39	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.62
	2.77	3.62	2.31
	2.35	3.35	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.35)	3.43 ↑ (3.13)	2.48 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puszcza Niepołomice
35%

Draw
27.2%

GKS Tychy
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

29.4%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

28.9%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

GKS Tychy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GKS Tychy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Tychy than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GKS Tychy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	31.2%	56.2%

Puszcza Niepołomice - GKS Tychy Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). GKS Tychy will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GKS Tychy: 32% – 80.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. GKS Tychy (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Perchel M. (G) 2. Kasolik K. 23. Przybylko K. 34. Piekarski A. 8. Mrozinski P. 11. Korczakowski O. 16. Walski M. 5. Stepien K. (C) 10. Cholewiak M. 88. Nascimento F. 9. Smiglewski K.	1. Wechsel L. (G) 4. Lipkowski K. 3. Teclaw J. 5. Glogowski K. 37. Keiblinger J. 8. Szpakowski M. 15. Bieronski J. 11. Blachewicz M. 92. Kadzior D. 17. Niemann N. 90. Welniak K.
Substitutes
67. Barczak N. 18. Francois E. 17. Iwao K. 77. Juszczyk B. 13. Kanach R. 97. Kowal W. (G) 27. Solowiej L. 19. Stec J. 7. Stepien M.	23. Adamczyk N. 47. Jankowski B. 31. Kolotylo K. (G) 22. Kubik T. 21. Machowski K. 10. Makowski R. 20. Pioterczak B. 7. Sanyang M. 19. Stangret M.
Coaches
Tulacz T.	Skowronek A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Nascimento F. ⚽,
45', Blachewicz M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, Niemann N. ⚽, Kadzior D. (A),
57', Korczakowski O. ↓, Francois E. ↑,
62', Welniak K. ↓, Stangret M. ↑,
62', Smiglewski K. ↓, Iwao K. ↑,
62', Cholewiak M. ↓, Stepien M. ↑,
62', Nascimento F. ↓, Kanach R. ↑,
70', Niemann N. ↓, Sanyang M. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Sanyang M. ⚽, Bieronski J. (A),
82', Walski M. ↓, Juszczyk B. ↑,
88', Szpakowski M. ↓, Makowski R. ↑,
88', Kadzior D. ↓, Kubik T. ↑,
89', Wechsel L. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puszcza won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Puszcza won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puszcza Niepołomice
Polish Division 1
16.08.25	Stal Rzeszów - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:2 ✺
11.08.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Wieczysta Kraków	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	Górnik Łęczna - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
21.07.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLTTT
- GKS Tychy
Polish Division 1
17.08.25	GKS Tychy - Górnik Łęczna	2:2 ✺
10.08.25	Odra Opole - GKS Tychy	0:0 ✺
04.08.25	GKS Tychy - Wisła Kraków	3:4 ✺
27.07.25	Polonia Warsaw - GKS Tychy	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.25	GKS Tychy - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
21.05.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - GKS Tychy	2:1
Club Friendly
20.01.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - GKS Tychy	2:3
Polish Division 1
23.10.22	GKS Tychy - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:3
07.05.22	GKS Tychy - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:1
Club Friendly
05.02.22	GKS Tychy - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0
Polish Division 1
31.10.21	Puszcza Niepołomice - GKS Tychy	2:2
02.05.21	Puszcza Niepołomice - GKS Tychy	0:1

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