Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Azersun Arena (Baku)

Referee: Masiyev E. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Qarabağ Agdam		Sabah

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.35	3.45	Watch
	1.91	3.65	3.69
	1.91	3.61	3.51	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.5
	1.93	3.66	3.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.99)	3.51 ↑ (3.22)	3.55 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qarabağ Agdam
48%

Draw
26.1%

Sabah
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

28.6%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

30.5%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Sabah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Sabah will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Kochalski M. (G) 27. Bayramov T. 18. Dani Bolt 17. Duran C. 20. Kady Borges 15. Leandro Andrade 2. Matheus Silva 81. Medina K. 9. Montiel J. 35. Pedro Bicalho 10. Zoubir A. (C)	92. Pokatilov S. (C) 6. Khaybulaev A. 13. Lepinjica I. 19. Malouda A. 20. Mickels J. 11. Parris K. 27. Puchacz T. 21. Simic V. 3. Solvet S. 40. Ygor Nogueira 80. Zedadka A.
Substitutes
11. Addai E. 97. Buntic F. (G) 24. Gnali J. 55. Huseynov B. 8. Jankovic M. 21. Kashchuk O. 22. Qurbanly M. 89. Ramazanov A. (G) 77. Sheydayev R.	9. Aliyev K. 53. Andrey 5. Dashdamirov R. 83. Ende S. 10. Isayev A. 99. Mbina O. 55. Mehbaliyev N. (G) 94. Mirzammadov R. (G) 17. Mutallimov T. 22. Ould Khaled Z. 70. Sekidika J. 2. Seydiyev A.
Coaches
Qurbanov Q.	Dambrauskas V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Matheus Silva 🟨,
19', Solvet S. 🟨,
29', Simic V. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Khaybulaev A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Khaybulaev A. 🟥,
52', Zedadka A. 🟨,
55', Parris K. ↓, Ould Khaled Z. ↑,
55', Malouda A. ↓, Dashdamirov R. ↑,
69', Kady Borges ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
69', Bayramov T. ↓, Jankovic M. ↑,
80', Dani Bolt ↓, Huseynov B. ↑,
82', Pokatilov S. 🟨,
82', Zoubir A. ↓, Addai E. ↑,
90+2', Mickels J. ↓, Aliyev K. ↑,
90+6', Duran C. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 0.

Recent performances by Qarabağ have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sabah is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Qarabağ will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:34. (average 2.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Qarabağ won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 2.3:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sabah Baku	5	5	0	0	14:1	13	15
3	Qarabag	5	4	1	0	9:4	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
11.04.26	Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Karvan	7:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
03.04.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	2:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
20.03.26	Kapaz - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Zira - Qarabağ Agdam	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWTLW
- Sabah Baku FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
11.04.26	Sabah - Zira	2:2 ✺
07.04.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Sabah	2:4 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
03.04.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	2:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
19.03.26	Sabah - Sumgayit	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	İmişli - Sabah	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Cup
03.04.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	2:2
Azerbaijan Premier League
01.03.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	3:3
18.12.25	Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam	2:1
Azerbaijan Cup
31.05.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	2:3 ET
Azerbaijan Premier League
27.04.25	Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam	1:1
22.02.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	1:1
07.12.24	Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam	1:1

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