The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Qarabağ Agdam 25.9%
Draw 24.8%
Twente 49.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28%
23.9%
48.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.4%
24.4%
49.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
11.1%
55.6%
Qarabağ Agdam - Twente Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Twente will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Twente: 32.6% – 78.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1, 1st Half - over (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
TQ, OT - Qarabağ (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Twente (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Twente (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Zlomislic M. (G) 2. Matheus Silva 55. Huseynov B. (C) 4. Varkonyi B. 5. Langa B. 88. Lobato S. 20. Kady Borges 8. Jankovic M. 21. Kashchuk O. 22. Qurbanly M. 7. Mouaddib J.
1. Unnerstall L. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 3. Propper R. (C) 43. Nijstad R. 38. Bruns M. 42. Weidmann D. 6. Zerrouki R. 19. Taha Y. 11. Rots D. 27. Orjasaeter S. 9. Weghorst W.
Substitutes
49. Bashirov A. 32. Cabrayilzada H. 18. Dani Bolt 99. Kochalski M. (G) 1. Mahammadaliyev S. (G) 25. Makreckis C. 9. Montiel J. 13. Mustafazada B. 35. Pedro Bicalho
29. Adelgaard A. 16. Drommel J. (G) 4. Kjolo M. 24. Kurowski K. 39. Meilink J. 26. Nagel B. 22. Pasveer R. (G) 12. Peixoto G. 7. Pjaca M. 17. Thorvaldsen F. 20. van den Belt T. 25. Vennegoor of Hesselink L.
Coaches
Qurbanov Q.
van den Brom J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Zerrouki R. 🟨,
23', Langa B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', Lobato S. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Kady Borges ⚽, Qurbanly M. (A),
70', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Pjaca M. ↑,
70', Propper R. ↓, Vennegoor of Hesselink L. ↑,
70', Qurbanly M. ↓, Makreckis C. ↑,
70', Lobato S. ↓, Pedro Bicalho ↑,
76', Langa B. ↓, Dani Bolt ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Pjaca M. ⚽, Weghorst W. (A),
86', Kady Borges ↓, Montiel J. ↑,
90', Jankovic M. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Bruns M. ⚽, Pjaca M. (A),
90+4', Varkonyi B. 🟨,
90+5', Nijstad R. ↓, Adelgaard A. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 2)
91', Rots D. ↓, van den Belt T. ↑,
92', Mouaddib J. 🟨,
94', 1 - 3, Weghorst W. ⚽, Weidmann D. (A),
97', Weidmann D. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
106', Jankovic M. 🟨,
106', Weghorst W. 🟨,
109', Weghorst W. ↓, Thorvaldsen F. ↑,
114', Huseynov B. ↓, Mustafazada B. ↑,
114', Mouaddib J. ↓, Cabrayilzada H. ↑,
114', 1 - 4, Taha Y. ⚽,
116', Taha Y. 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 1-0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Twente could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Qarabağ won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now
Twente: 2.24%
Last Results with these Odds
Twente - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 48.09%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.