Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Tofiq Bahramov Stadium (Baku)

Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Ukraine	2plus2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Qarabağ Agdam		Dynamo Kyiv

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	3.8	Watch
	1.88	3.4	3.95	Watch
	1.97	3.62	3.56
	1.92	3.8	3.89	Watch
	1.95	3.45	3.4
	1.98	3.73	3.73	Watch
	1.91	3.45	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.85)	3.53 ↑ (3.51)	3.73 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qarabağ Agdam
48.5%

Draw
26.5%

Dynamo Kyiv
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

26%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

27.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Dynamo Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	21.1%	0%

Qarabağ Agdam - Dynamo Kyiv Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Qarabağ Agdam will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Zlomislic M. (G) 2. Matheus Silva 4. Varkonyi B. 55. Huseynov B. (C) 44. Cafarquliyev E. 35. Pedro Bicalho 8. Jankovic M. 7. Mouaddib J. 20. Kady Borges 10. Zoubir A. 21. Kashchuk O.	71. Surkis V. (G) 5. Sych O. 40. Bilovar K. 32. Mykhavko T. 44. Dubinchak V. (C) 6. Brazhko V. 15. Rubchynskyi V. 39. Guerrero E. 21. Lonwijk J. 70. Redushko B. 11. Ponomarenko M.
Substitutes
49. Bashirov A. 32. Cabrayilzada H. 29. Cephas R. 99. Kochalski M. (G) 5. Langa B. 88. Lobato S. 1. Mahammadaliyev S. (G) 9. Montiel J. 13. Mustafazada B. 22. Qurbanly M.	29. Buyalskyy V. 22. Kabaev V. 14. Lyusin P. 23. Malysh N. 99. Mounguengue P. 91. Mykhaylenko M. 16. Ogundana S. 43. Olkhovyi I. (G) 10. Shaparenko M. 66. Thiare A. 18. Tymchyk O.
Coaches
Qurbanov Q.	Kostyuk I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Mouaddib J. ⚽, Matheus Silva (A),
29', Dubinchak V. 🟨,
45+4', Ponomarenko M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Huseynov B. 🟨,
69', 2 - 0, Kashchuk O. ⚽, Cafarquliyev E. (A),
72', Cafarquliyev E. ↓, Langa B. ↑,
72', Mouaddib J. ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
72', Kady Borges ↓, Cephas R. ↑,
73', Redushko B. ↓, Kabaev V. ↑,
73', Lonwijk J. ↓, Shaparenko M. ↑,
73', Guerrero E. ↓, Tymchyk O. ↑,
78', Dubinchak V. ↓, Ogundana S. ↑,
81', Zoubir A. ↓, Lobato S. ↑,
83', Rubchynskyi V. ↓, Buyalskyy V. ↑,
88', Kashchuk O. ↓, Montiel J. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Dynamo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Qarabağ is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Qarabağ Agdam
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Dynamo Kyiv - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.07.26	CSKA Sofia - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0 penalties ✺
23.07.26	Qarabağ Agdam - CSKA Sofia	0:0 ✺
16.07.26	Vestri - Qarabağ Agdam	0:3 ✺
09.07.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Vestri	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLTWW
- FC Dynamo Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
09.08.26	Veres Rivne - Dynamo Kyiv	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Dynamo Kyiv - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.07.26	PAOK - Dynamo Kyiv	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	Dynamo Kyiv - PAOK	2:3 ✺
16.07.26	Universitatea Cluj - Dynamo Kyiv	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Dynamo Kyiv - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0
Club Friendly
04.07.18	Dynamo Kyiv - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0

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