Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 February 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tofiq Bahramov Stadium (Baku) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Poland	18:45	Viaplay
Portugal	17:45	Sport TV2
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay
United Kingdom	17:45	TNT Sports


	Qarabağ Agdam		Braga

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.75	2.3
	2.8	3.7	2.3
	2.95	3.75	2.3	Watch
	2.88	3.75	2.35
	2.92	3.79	2.34
	2.75	3.7	2.25
	2.93	3.93	2.39
	2.9	3.8	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.85)	3.77 ↑ (3.67)	2.32 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qarabağ Agdam
33.3%

Draw
25.4%

Braga
41.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34%

26.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

27.5%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Braga aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.6%	15.6%	43.7%

Qarabağ Agdam - Braga Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 13 - 40.6%). Braga will win (votes: 14 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 26.6% – 61%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Lunev A. (G) 29. Vesovic M. 13. Mustafazada B. 55. Huseynov B. (C) 44. Cafarquliyev E. 6. Romao J. 8. Jankovic M. 15. Leandro Andrade 7. Benzia Y. 10. Zoubir A. 18. Juninho	1. Matheus (G) 2. Gomez V. 15. Oliveira P. 4. Niakate S. 26. Borja C. 28. Moutinho J. 22. Pizzi 16. Zalazar R. 23. Banza S. 9. Ruiz A. (C) 11. Fernandes R.
Substitutes
90. Akhundzade N. 66. Andrade P. 27. Bayramov T. 23. Gugeshashvili L. (G) 30. Huseynov A. 24. Isayev A. 17. Keyta H. 81. Medina K. 5. Medvedev M. 89. Ramazanov A. (G) 2. Silva M. 19. Xhixha R.	7. Bruma 55. Chissumba 14. Djalo A. 6. Fonte J. 91. Hornicek L. (G) 17. Mendes J. 10. Ndour C. 20. Rony Lopes 5. Saatci S. 12. Sa T. (G) 90. Soumare E. H. 18. Vitor Carvalho
Coaches
Gurbanov G.	Artur Jorge

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Tofiq Bahramov Stadium. 1st leg result: 4-2.

Qarabağ is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Braga is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Qarabağ could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Braga have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Braga: Horta R. (Health problems) Marin A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Qarabağ: Medina K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Braga: Bruma (Knee Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Qarabağ won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Qarabağ Agdam
UEFA Europa League
15.02.24	Braga - Qarabağ Agdam	2:4 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
11.02.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	3:3 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
08.02.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	3:4 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
03.02.24	Səbail - Qarabağ Agdam	1:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
30.01.24	Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WTLWW
- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
18.02.24	Braga - Farense	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.02.24	Braga - Qarabağ Agdam	2:4 ✺
Liga Portugal
11.02.24	Sporting Lisbon - Braga	5:0 ✺
04.02.24	Braga - Moreirense	1:0 ✺
31.01.24	Braga - Chaves	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
15.02.24	Braga - Qarabağ Agdam	2:4

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